Match Analysis: Hyder Amil vs Jamall Emmers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 11:40 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Hyder Amil and Jamall Emmers clash in a featherweight contest at UFC Vegas 111. Amil enters as the favorite with an 11-1 record, known for his high output striking and pressure style. Emmers, a more experienced 21-8 veteran with a reach advantage, relies on wrestling and durability but tends to absorb more damage. The fight is expected to be a tactical striking and pace battle.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hyder Amil boasts a higher significant striking rate (6.84/min) and accuracy (57%) compared to Emmers (5.45/min, 49%). Amil also absorbs slightly more strikes but counters with high volume and finishing ability. Emmers' experience includes a wrestling base and higher strike defense (56% absorption rate), making him resilient.
- No known direct prior matchups between Amil and Emmers, so analysis relies on style and statistical matchup.
- No recent injuries reported for either fighter, both are reportedly fully fit for this bout.
- Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue advantageous to both. No external disruptions or unusual factors affecting preparation.
- Amil, at 35, is motivated to maintain his rising trajectory and avenge a recent KO loss by returning with a strong performance. Emmers, at 36, looks to leverage his experience and notch a significant win to revive his ranking.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hyder_Amil: -147, Jamall_Emmers: +127 | Hyder Amil | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Hyder_Amil_-3.5: -110, Jamall_Emmers_+3.5: -120 | Hyder Amil -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over_1.5: -145, Under_1.5: +110 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hyder Amil 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hyder Amil to win on the moneyline, via decision or late stoppage, with the fight going over 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Hyder Amil wins by decision or TKO within 3 rounds