Match Analysis: Jake Wyllie vs Youssef Dib – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 10:00 AM UTC
- Location: Fortitude Music Hall, Fortitude Valley
Game Overview
Jake Wyllie faces Youssef Dib in a 10-round lightweight boxing match. Wyllie holds a record of 17-2-0 with 16 KOs, while Dib's record is 21-3-0 with 11 KOs. This bout features a contrast in styles and experience, with Wyllie having notable knockout power and youth advantage, and Dib offering greater pro experience and a height reach edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wyllie is younger (25 vs. 32 years) and has a 94% knockout rate compared to Dib’s 52%, indicating superior punching power. However, Dib has more fights (24 vs. 19) and more total rounds (126 vs. 64), suggesting greater ring experience and endurance.
- No prior fights between Wyllie and Dib, making this their first competitive meeting.
- No publicly disclosed injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both enter in good health.
- Fight held in Brisbane, Australia, where both fighters have familiarity. The venue is Fortitude Music Hall, lending a neutral local atmosphere. Broadcast via DAZN ensures global exposure.
- Wyllie aims to rebuild his reputation after a March loss to George Kambosos Jr., fighting four times in 2025 for momentum. Dib seeks to capitalize on his experience and upset a younger, powerful opponent to boost his standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jake Wyllie: -450, Youssef Dib: 320 | Jake Wyllie to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Wyllie: -1.5, Dib: +1.5 | Wyllie covers -1.5 rounds spread | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jake Wyllie -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Jake Wyllie at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jake Wyllie is predicted to win by knockout or late rounds due to his superior power and youthfulness, despite Dib’s experience and height advantage. The expectation is for Wyllie to impose aggressive pressure leading to a stoppage or decision victory.
Predicted Score: Wyllie wins by 8th round TKO