Match Analysis: Jackson St Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
Game Overview
Jackson State Tigers (0-5) host the Winthrop Eagles (2-3) in a matchup where Winthrop is a strong favorite. Jackson State is struggling with a five-game losing streak, low offensive efficiency, and high turnover and foul rates. Winthrop has shown a more competitive profile with a slightly better record, better shooting percentages, and a more balanced attack but coming off close losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jackson State averages roughly 60.5 points per game on 34.6% shooting with 14.8 turnovers and 19.5 fouls per game, ranking low nationally. Winthrop averages 85 points per game, shooting over 43% from the field, commits fewer turnovers (9.0 per game), and has a better defensive profile, allowing 45.3% shooting. Winthrop also has a better assist to turnover ratio.
- Limited recent head-to-head data; available records do not show current dominance from Jackson State. Winthrop typically covers the spread against Jackson State and has a better SPREAD record, especially at home and on the road.
- No specific injury information available for either team at this time, suggesting lineups should be near full strength.
- Jackson State plays at home but is underperforming significantly. The mental burden of a long losing streak could impact performance negatively. Winthrop is traveling but enters as a solid favorite, suggesting confidence and momentum despite narrow recent losses.
- Jackson State seeks to break their losing streak which may inspire greater effort, but historical trends suggest difficulty overcoming their current form. Winthrop looks to maintain momentum and assert their superiority in this contest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jackson St Tigers: +320, Winthrop Eagles: -430 | Winthrop Eagles | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Jackson St Tigers +9.5: -120, Winthrop Eagles -9.5: -102 | Winthrop Eagles -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 165.5: -108, Under 165.5: -116 | Under 165.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winthrop Eagles -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 165.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 165.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winthrop Eagles will win convincingly, covering the -9.5 spread, with a final score estimate of 92-71. The game is projected to go under the total of 165.5, reflecting strong defensive efforts and Jackson State's offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Winthrop Eagles 92 – Jackson State Tigers 71