Match Analysis: Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 3:45 AM UTC
- Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia
Game Overview
The UFC Featherweight match between Jack Jenkins and Ramon Taveras is set for September 28, 2025, at RAC Arena in Perth. Jenkins, an all-around fighter with strong boxing and finishing abilities, holds a record of 13-4 and has UFC experience of 4-2. Taveras is a slightly taller and longer-reach opponent with a 10-3 record. Both fighters bring finishing intent, opposed stances, and solid skill sets to the main card fight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jack Jenkins has shown strong boxing skills, mixing strikes effectively to head, body, and legs, with a solid grappling base as a Jiu-Jitsu black belt. Ramon Taveras is similarly experienced, with a slight size and reach advantage. Both fighters are well-rounded but Jenkins’ finishing ability and UFC experience give him a performance edge.
- This match is the first recorded encounter between Jenkins and Taveras, so no direct head-to-head statistics are available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter are available prior to the fight.
- The fight is taking place in Perth, Australia, giving Jenkins a home-country advantage. Both fighters appear highly motivated, with Jenkins publicly discussing mental resilience and a willingness to grow through adversity.
- Jenkins has expressed strong personal motivation focused on overcoming challenges, fear management, and financial stakes, indicating high psychological readiness. Taveras’ motivation is less publicly detailed but expected to be high given the UFC stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jack Jenkins: -285, Ramon Taveras: 230 | Jack Jenkins | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Jack Jenkins: -3.5 (-120), Ramon Taveras: +3.5 (-110) | Jack Jenkins -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -180, Under 2.5 rounds: 140 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jack Jenkins -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 44% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jack Jenkins is favored to win due to his refined boxing skills, finishing potential, and slight home advantage, although Taveras’ reach and toughness present a credible threat. A competitive fight is expected with Jenkins likely edging a decision or late finish.
Predicted Score: Jack Jenkins wins by decision or late round TKO, estimated duration 2 to 3 rounds