Match Analysis: Pietro Mochetti vs Jack Foote – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Palapellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Pietro Mochetti faces Jack Foote at Cage Warriors 195 in a bantamweight contest. Mochetti is a striking specialist with recent strong momentum, while Foote relies on grappling and ground control, supported by strong endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mochetti has shown consistent striking dominance in recent bouts with good defense and pace control. Foote’s grappling-heavy approach has been effective but faces challenges dealing with high-level striking pressure.
• No recorded direct H2H matchup exists between Mochetti and Foote, making fight dynamics reliant on stylistic matchup analysis.
• No recent reports of injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading into this match.
• The bout takes place in Rome, Italy, potentially favoring Mochetti due to proximity and possible crowd support. Both fighters appear equally prepared with no notable external disruptions.
• Mochetti has momentum from recent performances and looks to extend his rising trajectory, while Foote aims to impose his grappling to secure a definitive win and improve ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -140, away: +120	Mochetti	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Mochetti -1.5: -115, Foote +1.5: -105	Mochetti -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +130, Under 2.5: -150	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pietro Mochetti 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pietro Mochetti at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pietro Mochetti to win by decision or KO via striking control.

Predicted Score: Mochetti wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Aaron Towns vs Jack Foote – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-19
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Braehead Arena, Glasgow

Game Overview

The bantamweight MMA bout between Aaron Towns and Jack Foote is a featured prelim fight at Cage Warriors 187 in Glasgow. Both fighters come into the match evenly matched on the oddsboard, highlighting a tight contest expected between these two bantamweight prospects. The fight is part of a card showcasing emerging talent in the Cage Warriors promotion and will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass.

Key Factors to Consider

• Aaron Towns has demonstrated a solid fighting style with balanced striking and grappling, showing resilience in previous fights. Jack Foote also presents a well-rounded skill set with notable endurance and tactical fight IQ. Both fighters have competitive records with recent wins, but neither has a clear domination over the other in recent performances.
• No direct historical head-to-head matchups have been recorded between Aaron Towns and Jack Foote. Their styles, however, suggest a clash of balanced stand-up striking and grappling techniques, making fight strategy and adaptability crucial.
• No public reports of injuries to either fighter have surfaced ahead of the match, indicating both competitors should be at full health and fighting capacity.
• The fight takes place in Glasgow at Braehead Arena, which might provide Aaron Towns with a slight local crowd advantage. The event's live streaming on UFC Fight Pass adds pressure but also increased exposure for both fighters.
• Both fighters are motivated to cement their status within the bantamweight division of Cage Warriors, aiming to climb the ranks and possibly attract attention from larger promotions. Given the stakes, motivation levels are expected to be high on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aaron Towns: -120, Jack Foote: -120	Close fight, slight edge to Aaron Towns due to venue advantage and stylistic matchups.	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Aaron Towns: -1.5, Jack Foote: +1.5	Aaron Towns to win by a narrow margin, covering a small spread.	★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Expect the fight to go over 2.5 rounds, likely a decision or late stoppage.	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Aaron Towns -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the even odds and lack of clear dominance in previous encounters or styles, this fight is predicted to be a closely contested bout likely decided by narrow margins or potentially going the distance with a decision.

Predicted Score: Aaron Towns by unanimous decision