Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Game Overview
The bout features Jack Catterall (31-2, 13 KOs) facing Ekow Essuman (22-1, 8 KOs) over 10 rounds in the welterweight division. Both are British fighters with contrasting styles: Catterall is a southpaw known for technical boxing, while Essuman is an orthodox fighter with a powerful work rate. The fight marks Catterall's second welterweight contest and Essuman's rise after an upset win over Josh Taylor. It will be contested at London’s Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as part of a major fight card on November 15, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Catterall has recently won 4 of his last 5 fights, including a technical decision win over Harlem Eubank and a close split decision loss to Arnold Barboza Jr. Essuman is coming off a high-profile win against Josh Taylor, boosting his confidence and profile significantly. Catterall relies on lateral movement and boxing skills, while Essuman brings pressure and durability.
- This is their first meeting in the ring, so no head-to-head history exists. Community prediction polls show a near-even split with about 43% for each fighter to win by decision and around 14% expecting a Catterall knockout.
- No recent injuries reported for either fighter. Catterall’s switch to new trainer Derek Ennis might impact his preparation positively.
- The fight is held in London, advantageous to Catterall as the home fighter. It is a co-main event on a prominent card, increasing motivation and pressure. Weather and venue conditions are standard and not expected to affect performance.
- Catterall is motivated to maintain his march towards a world title shot and redeem a previous controversial loss. Essuman is riding momentum from a major upset and seeks to cement his position as a top welterweight contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jack Catterall: -225, Ekow Essuman: +175 | Jack Catterall | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Jack Catterall -1.5: -110, Ekow Essuman +1.5: -110 | Jack Catterall -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 9.5 rounds: -115, Under 9.5 rounds: -105 | Under 9.5 rounds (fight likely competitive but not an early stoppage) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jack Catterall -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Jack Catterall is favored due to superior technical skills, home advantage, and recent form, but Essuman’s pressure and recent upset win create a genuine threat. A cautious prediction is a close decision win for Catterall.
Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by decision (10 rounds)