Match Analysis: Michael Conlan vs Jack Bateson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-05
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: 3Arena, Dublin, Ireland
Game Overview
Michael Conlan faces Jack Bateson for the vacant WBC International Featherweight title in a 10-round bout at the 3Arena in Dublin. Conlan enters as the favorite with more experience at the world level, while Bateson is a strong technical fighter but considered the underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Conlan’s recent form shows mixed results—1 win in his last 3 fights but a solid victory in March 2025. Bateson has a strong, consistent record of 20-1-1 with six KOs but lacks recent high-profile wins.
- No previous direct matchups between Conlan and Bateson, making this their first encounter.
- No reported current injuries for either fighter; however, Conlan has endured two brutal stoppage losses in his recent past, raising questions about durability.
- Fight is in Conlan’s home country, Ireland, likely benefitting his motivation and crowd support. Title on the line boosts stakes for both.
- Conlan is motivated for a career revival on home soil after setbacks while Bateson aims to capitalize on his strong technical skills to claim his first major international title.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michael Conlan: -245, Jack Bateson: +185 | Michael Conlan | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | +1.5 rounds Michael Conlan -110 | Michael Conlan by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -280, Under 8.5: +209 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michael Conlan -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 92% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michael Conlan wins by unanimous decision
Predicted Score: Michael Conlan wins by 10-round unanimous decision