Hussein Salem vs. Izzeddine Al Derbani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hussein Salem vs Izzeddine Al Derbani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The featherweight semifinal bout between Hussein Salem (12-6) and Izzeddine Al Derbani (15-5) features two regional champions competing for a spot in the PFL MENA Finals with a $500,000 prize on the line. The match is scheduled at a premier Middle East event, PFL MENA 3, held in Riyadh.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Izzeddine Al Derbani has a stronger recent form and a superior overall record (15-5) compared to Hussein Salem's 12-6 record. Al Derbani also stepped in as an alternate, possibly adding motivation. Both fighters have shown finishing ability, but Al Derbani's experience and record favor him slightly.
  • No previous recorded head-to-head matchups between Salem and Al Derbani are available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the matchup; both are presumed fully fit.
  • Fighting in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, may slightly favor Hussein Salem due to regional familiarity, but Al Derbani has adapted well in this environment before. The event is a major regional tournament incentivizing peak performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated as this semifinal determines a chance at a lucrative prize and progression in the PFL MENA tournament. Al Derbani’s late replacement status may increase his drive to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hussein Salem: +116, Izzeddine Al Derbani: -138 Izzeddine Al Derbani ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Al Derbani -1.5: -110, Salem +1.5: -110 Izzeddine Al Derbani -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Izzeddine Al Derbani -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Izzeddine Al Derbani at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Izzeddine Al Derbani to win on the moneyline, winning by decision or technical finish

Predicted Score: Izzeddine Al Derbani wins by decision or TKO in round 2 or 3


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