Match Analysis: Ishmael Davis vs Caoimhin Agyarko – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Windsor Park, Belfast

Game Overview

A significant junior middleweight clash where Ishmael Davis, a pressure fighter with notable power and a recent strong gas tank, faces undefeated national-level amateur standout Caoimhin Agyarko, who relies on technical boxing skills and ring IQ.

Key Factors to Consider

• Davis has shown resilience by stepping in on short notice with strong late-round performance and 4 of last 5 wins by KO, indicating power and stamina; Agyarko is undefeated with 17-0 record, strong amateur pedigree, and a boxing style that favors rhythm and controlled pace.
• No previous direct encounters; styles contrast with Davis favoring physical aggression and Agyarko relying on tactical boxing.
• No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear fully fit.
• Fight at Windsor Park in Belfast favors Agyarko geographically though Davis has shown comfort fighting in hostile environments; media and community predictions lean heavily towards Davis by decision.
• Both fighters need a career-defining win; Davis’s motivation enhanced by recent near wins stepping up in class, Agyarko seeks to maintain perfect record and validate his amateur credentials in the pro ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -150, Caoimhin Agyarko +120	Ishmael Davis	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 10.5 -375, Under 10.5 +275	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 163%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 163% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Ishmael Davis to win; Spread: Ishmael Davis by -2 rounds; Over/Under: Under 10.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by TKO in round 9