Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Ishmael Davis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The super welterweight clash between Sam Gilley and Ishmael Davis features Davis as the favorite with odds of -330 versus Gilley's +245. Gilley holds a strong record of 18-1-1 with a higher knockout percentage (50%) compared to Davis's 13-3-0 and 46% KO ratio. Davis is favored due to recent form and battlefield momentum, but Gilley’s experience and power provide a credible upset potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Gilley has an 18-1-1 record with 9 KOs and consistent performances but fewer recent knockouts. Ishmael Davis holds a 13-3 record with 6 KOs, though he has struggled recently with three losses in close or late-notice fights, showing some vulnerability despite being favored.
• No direct previous bouts between Gilley and Davis, but Gilley's longer professional career and more fights (114 rounds vs 97 rounds) lend him slight experience advantage.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The bout occurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a major venue possibly favoring the well-prepared favorite Davis. Davis has had a rough streak but fights motivated by British and Commonwealth title implications, increasing competitiveness.
• Davis aims to cement himself on a grander stage after late-notice tough losses, while Gilley, the underdog, is motivated to capitalize on power and experience to upset the favorite and claim titles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ishmael Davis at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ishmael Davis to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by KO in round 8

Match Analysis: Ishmael Davis vs Caoimhin Agyarko – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Windsor Park, Belfast

Game Overview

A significant junior middleweight clash where Ishmael Davis, a pressure fighter with notable power and a recent strong gas tank, faces undefeated national-level amateur standout Caoimhin Agyarko, who relies on technical boxing skills and ring IQ.

Key Factors to Consider

• Davis has shown resilience by stepping in on short notice with strong late-round performance and 4 of last 5 wins by KO, indicating power and stamina; Agyarko is undefeated with 17-0 record, strong amateur pedigree, and a boxing style that favors rhythm and controlled pace.
• No previous direct encounters; styles contrast with Davis favoring physical aggression and Agyarko relying on tactical boxing.
• No public injury reports for either fighter; both appear fully fit.
• Fight at Windsor Park in Belfast favors Agyarko geographically though Davis has shown comfort fighting in hostile environments; media and community predictions lean heavily towards Davis by decision.
• Both fighters need a career-defining win; Davis’s motivation enhanced by recent near wins stepping up in class, Agyarko seeks to maintain perfect record and validate his amateur credentials in the pro ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -150, Caoimhin Agyarko +120	Ishmael Davis	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 10.5 -375, Under 10.5 +275	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 163%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 163% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Ishmael Davis to win; Spread: Ishmael Davis by -2 rounds; Over/Under: Under 10.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by TKO in round 9