Match Analysis: Damion Nelson vs Isaiah Diggs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-14
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City
Game Overview
Featherweight MMA bout between Damion Nelson, an experienced and aggressive fighter with improved defense and stamina, and Isaiah Diggs, an undefeated, fast, and technically skilled young fighter known for endurance and decision wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nelson is 8-4 with recent strong form winning 4 fights including a recent KO, while Diggs is undefeated 5-0 with all wins by decision emphasizing endurance and technique.
- No recorded head-to-head fights between Nelson and Diggs.
- No reported injuries impacting either fighter prior to the match.
- Fight held under the PFL World Tournament 9 card at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, neutral venue with similar preparation time for both.
- Diggs as an undefeated rising star motivated to maintain perfect record; Nelson seeking to prove experience and improve standing in PFL after recent contract signing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Damion Nelson: +185, Isaiah Diggs: -275 | Isaiah Diggs | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Damion Nelson: +1.5 rounds (-180), Isaiah Diggs: -1.5 rounds (+140) | Isaiah Diggs -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Isaiah Diggs -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaiah Diggs at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Isaiah Diggs to win by decision
Predicted Score: Isaiah Diggs wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds