Match Analysis: Iowa Wild vs Rockford IceHogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-12
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Iowa Wild Home Arena
Game Overview
This AHL matchup features the Iowa Wild hosting the Rockford IceHogs. Recent trends show Rockford performing strongly against the spread, particularly with the +1.5 handicap, while Iowa has struggled in recent form. The total goals line is set at 5.5, reflecting a moderate expectation for scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rockford IceHogs have won 7 of their last 8 games against Iowa when given a +1.5 spread, including the last 5 away games. Iowa Wild's recent form is weaker with multiple losses in their latest fixtures.
- Historically close with 108 encounters, home team (Iowa) has 54 wins and away team (Rockford) 49. Rockford tends to cover the +1.5 spread consistently against Iowa.
- No major injury reports publicly available for either team impacting key players as of the match date.
- The game is played at Iowa's home venue but Rockford's recent strong performance on the road minimizes typical home advantage.
- Rockfordβs solid recent performance and ability to cover spreads suggest strong motivation to maintain competitive edge. Iowa needs a turnaround after poor recent results but motivation alone seems insufficient to overcome Rockford's recent dominance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -145, away: +110 | Rockford IceHogs | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | home_-1.5: +185, away_+1.5: -250 | Rockford IceHogs +1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | over_5.5: -105, under_5.5: -125 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Iowa Wild 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Iowa Wild at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pick Rockford IceHogs on the moneyline for an upset win, bet Rockford +1.5 on the spread, and the game to go Under 5.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: Rockford IceHogs 3 – 2 Iowa Wild