Match Analysis: Wisconsin Badgers vs Iowa Hawkeyes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Game Overview
This Big Ten rivalry matchup features the Iowa Hawkeyes visiting Wisconsin Badgers. Iowa enters favored on the moneyline with -164 odds, reflecting their stronger recent performance and rested status, while Wisconsin is the underdog at home. The spread is set at Iowa -3.5, and the total points line is a low 35.5, indicating expectations of a defensive battle.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa has demonstrated superior form recently with solid defensive and offensive efficiency, whereas Wisconsin struggles offensively but has shown resilience. Wisconsin is motivated to win at home to reverse their fortunes under Coach Luke Fickell in a 'win now' scenario.
- Historically, the matchup has been competitive but recent trends favor Iowa slightly, with Iowa winning key past meetings and performing well on the road in this rivalry.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would heavily impact key positions, ensuring both teams are at near full strength.
- No noteworthy weather or external conditions expected to alter gameplay significantly. The game is a high-stakes rivalry, increasing intensity and pressure on both sides.
- Wisconsinβs urgency to secure a win under new coaching adds motivational edge, but Iowaβs consistent performance and potential momentum entering a rested status grant them an advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Iowa Hawkeyes: -164, Wisconsin Badgers: 138 | Iowa Hawkeyes | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5: -104, Wisconsin Badgers +3.5: -118 | Iowa Hawkeyes -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 35.5: -115, Under 35.5: -105 | Under 35.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Iowa Hawkeyes -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 35.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 35.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa Hawkeyes to win straight up (moneyline), covering the 3.5 point spread, with the game going under 35.5 points scored.
Predicted Score: Iowa Hawkeyes 20 – 14 Wisconsin Badgers