Match Analysis: Peter Mcgrail vs Ionut Baluta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Resorts World Arena, Birmingham

Game Overview

Peter McGrail and Ionut Baluta will face off in a super-bantamweight boxing match on June 21, 2025, contested over 10 rounds with McGrail's WBA international super-bantamweight title on the line. McGrail enters with an 11-1 record, while Baluta is the late replacement after an injury withdrawal of the original opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

• Peter McGrail has an established professional record of 11 wins and 1 loss with 6 KOs, showing strong performance and experience at the super-bantamweight level. Ionut Baluta is stepping in as a replacement; while his exact record is not detailed, the odds suggest he is the underdog, indicating less favorable past performance or lower market confidence.
• No previous recorded head-to-head fights between Peter McGrail and Ionut Baluta are available, making this a first-time matchup.
• Peter McGrail's original opponent, Shabaz Masoud, withdrew due to injury, leading to Baluta stepping in on relatively short notice, which may impact Baluta's preparation and performance.
• The fight being held at Resorts World Arena in Birmingham gives McGrail a home advantage. The short time frame for Baluta to prepare could affect his performance negatively. The fight is scheduled for 10 rounds which tests endurance and skill.
• Peter McGrail is motivated to defend his WBA international super-bantamweight title on home ground. Baluta has motivation as a replacement fighter to seize an opportunity on a big stage, potentially increasing his risk-taking and urgency in the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Peter McGrail: -600, Ionut Baluta: 400	Peter McGrail to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Peter McGrail: -1.5 rounds favored	Peter McGrail wins by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 8.5 rounds: -500, under 8.5 rounds: 350	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Peter Mcgrail -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 193%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 193% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Peter McGrail is strongly favored to win this fight given his experience, home advantage, title defense motivation, and the odds reflecting strong market confidence. Baluta may put up resistance but is less likely to claim victory due to short prep and underdog status.

Predicted Score: Peter McGrail wins by 9th round stoppage or unanimous decision

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – June 21, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Giorgio Visoli vs. Federico Duguet Prediction	Giorgio Visoli	-10000	1354%
Peter Mcgrail vs. Ionut Baluta Prediction	Over 8.5	-500	58%
Jahi Tucker vs. Lorenzo Simpson Prediction	Over 8.5	-600	35%

Combined Odds: -242 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $28.28

Match Analysis: Brad Strand vs Ionut Baluta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Echo Arena, Liverpool

Game Overview

Brad Strand faces Ionut Baluta in a 10-round Super Bantamweight bout. Strand has a record of 12 wins and 1 loss, while Baluta has 16 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brad Strand has a higher knockout percentage (33%) compared to Ionut Baluta (19%). However, Baluta has more experience with 159 professional rounds fought compared to Strand's 72.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Brad Strand and Ionut Baluta.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of a significant undercard, which might affect the fighters' focus and preparation.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, with Strand looking to prove himself against a more experienced opponent and Baluta seeking to bounce back from his last loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brad Strand: 100, Ionut Baluta: -130	Ionut Baluta	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 8.5: -385, Under 8.5: 285	Over 8.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Ionut Baluta is favored due to his experience, but Brad Strand's power could be a deciding factor.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for boxing matches