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Ion Surdu vs. Andrej Kalasnik Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ion Surdu vs Andrej Kalasnik – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Winning Group Arena, Brno, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Ion Surdu, the reigning welterweight champion, faces Andrej Kalasnik in a highly anticipated title fight at Oktagon 79. Surdu, known for his striking prowess with 11 knockout victories, will look to defend his title against Kalasnik, who has shown improvement with a recent three-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ion Surdu has established himself as a formidable finisher in Europe, while Andrej Kalasnik has demonstrated relentless firepower in his recent performances.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Brno, which might give Kalasnik a hometown advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Surdu looking to defend his title and Kalasnik seeking his first championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ion Surdu: -350, Andrej Kalasnik: 225 Ion Surdu ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ion Surdu -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ion Surdu is favored to win due to his impressive knockout record and recent success in Oktagon.

Predicted Score: Ion Surdu by knockout in the first round.


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Krzysztof Jotko vs. Ion Surdu Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Ion Surdu – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26/04/2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Data unavailable

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between veteran Krzysztof Jotko (25-6-1) and OKTAGON WW champion Ion Surdu (16-6). Surdu shows KO dominance (11 KOs), while Jotko relies on decisions (14 wins) and holds a significant experience edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Surdu: 11/16 wins by KO | Jotko: 14/25 wins by decision
  • No direct H2H history per available records[1][3][5]
  • No reported injuries in available data[2][4]
  • Weight difference notable (Jotko last weighed 93kg vs Surdu's 78kg, though likely typo as both listed at ~185cm height[5])
  • Surdu defending champion status vs Jotko's experience against higher-level competition

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Surdu -150 | Jotko +110 Jotko moneyline (+110) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ion Surdu 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jotko by decision (55% confidence) – Superior technical striking and cardio likely to overcome Surdu's power in later rounds

Predicted Score: Jotko via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)


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