Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Event Venue (exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
The UFC 315 prelims feature a Light Heavyweight bout between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba. Both fighters have solid UFC experience with Bukauskas holding a 5-4 UFC record and Cutelaba with an 8-9-1 UFC record. Bukauskas, known for his well-rounded striking and grappling, aims to secure a finish, while Cutelaba brings aggressive style and resilience. The fight is expected to be competitive and likely to be decided by striking exchanges and the ability to implement game plans under pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bukauskas has recovered from a three-fight skid and appears focused with improved strategy and composure, demonstrated in recent interviews. Cutelaba maintains an aggressive approach but has a slightly less consistent record in UFC bouts, indicating volatility in performance.
- This matchup appears to be their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head record available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience but differ slightly in fighting style and recent form.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout as of the latest updates.
- The fight is on UFC prelims, possibly affecting the fighters' motivation to make a strong impression for a potential main card rise. Modestas Bukauskas has publicly expressed motivation to earn a bonus-worthy performance, which may give him an edge.
- Bukauskas is highly motivated to capitalize on recent progress and move closer to a significant UFC milestone. Cutelaba is known for his fighting spirit but may face pressure to improve his UFC record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Modestas Bukauskas: -108, Ion Cutelaba: -112 | Modestas Bukauskas | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Modestas Bukauskas +3.5: -140, Ion Cutelaba -3.5: 100 | Modestas Bukauskas +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -154, Under 1.5 rounds: 120 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Modestas Bukauskas -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Modestas Bukauskas is predicted to win, likely by a finish given his stated game plan and recent confidence. The fight may go to a late stoppage or decision if Cutelaba withstands early aggression.
Predicted Score: Bukauskas wins by TKO/KO or decision in Round 2 or 3