Match Analysis: Internacional-RS vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
Game Overview
The second leg of the 2025 Copa Libertadores Round of 16 between Internacional-RS and Flamengo-RJ is set after Flamengo secured a 1-0 victory in the first leg at Maracanã, giving them an aggregate lead. Flamengo dominated possession and created more chances, but Internacional showed resilience with key saves and improved performance in the second half. The match at Estadio Beira-Rio presents Internacional with a chance to overturn the deficit in front of their home fans.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flamengo has demonstrated strong offensive control and possession dominance in the first leg, scoring the decisive goal through a set-piece header. Internacional has struggled to convert chances but has improved defensively and showed good individual performances, especially from young Ricardo Mathias and goalkeeper Rochet.
- Recent encounter in the first leg favored Flamengo 1-0. Historically both clubs are competitive in CONMEBOL tournaments with Flamengo generally having a slight upper hand in high-stakes matches. This fixture could be tightly contested given the narrow margin.
- No specific injury details are provided in the current data, implying no major disruptions expected for either side.
- The match is played in Porto Alegre, giving Internacional home advantage. The crowd atmosphere and pitch familiarity may motivate Internacional. Flamengo must manage travel and pressure of holding the aggregate lead.
- Internacional needs to overcome a 1-0 deficit, increasing urgency and attacking impetus. Flamengo aims to defend their advantage while exploiting counterattack opportunities. Both teams are motivated by the knockout stakes.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flamengo-RJ: 165, Internacional-RS: 205, Draw: 190 | Flamengo-RJ to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Flamengo-RJ: -140 on 0, Internacional-RS: +108 on 0 | Flamengo-RJ as pick given aggregate lead | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2 goals: -150, Under 2 goals: +115 | Under 2 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flamengo-RJ 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 51% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win or draw with a high possibility of a low-scoring match due to their aggregate lead and control tendency. Internacional will push hard for goals, but Flamengo's defense and experience could secure their progression.
Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Flamengo-RJ