Match Analysis: In Soo Hwang vs Paddy Mccorry – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 12:40 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Game Overview
Middleweight MMA bout between In Soo Hwang and Paddy McCorry on Dana White's Contender Series main card.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters are making their professional debuts (0-0 records). No professional fight history limits direct performance comparison. Training camps and amateur records indicate McCorry has slightly more wrestling and grappling experience, while Hwang's style is more striking-oriented.
- No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters; this is their first matchup.
- No reported injuries to either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully fit and prepared.
- Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are competing on Dana White's Contender Series, providing strong motivation for a UFC contract.
- High motivation on both sides due to opportunity to secure UFC contract. McCorry's slightly more versatile skill set may provide an edge in securing a finish, increasing confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +155, away: -180 | Paddy McCorry | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | +1.5 rounds (Hwang) -120 / -1.5 rounds (McCorry) +100 | Paddy McCorry to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: -160, under: +140 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paddy Mccorry -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 68% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Paddy McCorry to win via moneyline, fight to finish under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Paddy McCorry wins by TKO in round 1