Match Analysis: Impa Kasanganay vs Andrew Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Professional Fighters League World Tournament Finals Venue (Exact location not specified)

Game Overview

The MMA middleweight bout between Impa Kasanganay and Andrew Sanchez at the Professional Fighters League 2025 World Tournament Finals features a matchup of two technically skilled fighters. Kasanganay enters as a strong favorite due to his aggressive striking and cardio, while Sanchez is considered an underdog with potential to exploit grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Impa Kasanganay has demonstrated consistent performance in recent PFL events, showing improved striking and control in middleweight bouts. Andrew Sanchez has had mixed results but is respected for his grappling and resilience inside the cage.
• This fight marks the first meeting between Impa Kasanganay and Andrew Sanchez, so there is no direct head-to-head data available.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted leading into this match.
• The fight is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament Finals card, potentially adding elevated pressure and motivation for both fighters to secure a win and advance in PFL rankings.
• Impa Kasanganay is highly motivated to capitalize on his favored status to secure a dominant victory, while Andrew Sanchez is motivated as an underdog to upset and advance, potentially leading to a high effort and strategic fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay: -600, Andrew Sanchez: 425	Impa Kasanganay to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Impa Kasanganay: -1.5 rounds, Andrew Sanchez: +1.5 rounds	Impa Kasanganay covering -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 2.5 rounds – 1.90, under: 2.5 rounds – 1.90	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Impa Kasanganay at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Impa Kasanganay is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage given his favored odds and momentum, with a 70% confidence level in this outcome.

Predicted Score: Impa Kasanganay defeats Andrew Sanchez via unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)

Match Analysis: Impa Kasanganay vs Fabian Edwards – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-19
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios, Orlando, United States

Game Overview

Impa Kasanganay and Fabian Edwards will face off in the middleweight division at the PFL World Tournament 3. This main card fight marks a crucial first-round quarter-final bout in the 2025 PFL tournament. Both fighters are experienced veterans: Kasanganay is a former light heavyweight season winner with a professional record of 18-5, while Edwards boasts a 28-5 record and is known for his reach advantage and striking power. The fight is highly anticipated and will be streamed globally on DAZN as well as ESPN+ in the US.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kasanganay has shown resilience in bouncing back in recent seasons with solid performances highlighted by 5 knockout wins out of 23 fights. Edwards has a longer professional history with 33 fights and a strong striking record, including 14 knockouts, leveraging his height and reach advantage to control opponents effectively.
• There is no prior recorded matchup between Kasanganay and Edwards, making this a fresh contest without direct tactical data from previous encounters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, suggesting both will enter the fight in full health and physical readiness.
• The fight takes place at a familiar venue for PFL events, Universal Studios, Orlando, a neutral ground with no home advantage. Streaming availability on major platforms ensures global exposure, which could increase fighter motivation.
• Kasanganay is motivated to prove his durability as a former tournament finalist and light heavyweight winner by advancing further in the middleweight division. Edwards, younger and with a reputation to uphold as the brother of UFC champion Leon Edwards, is driven to cement his status as a top contender via a decisive victory here.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fabian Edwards: +113, Impa Kasanganay: -133	Impa Kasanganay	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Impa Kasanganay: -1.5, Fabian Edwards: +1.5	Impa Kasanganay to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -260, Under 2.5 rounds: +200	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Impa Kasanganay -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Fabian Edwards’ reach, striking power, and extensive experience, alongside Kasanganay's need to adjust to middleweight competition, the prediction leans slightly toward Fabian Edwards to win by decision or late stoppage. Kasanganay’s resilience means a finish is possible, but Edwards' technical striking and tactical approach should prevail.

Predicted Score: Impa Kasanganay wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage in round 3