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Match Analysis: Sergej Braun vs Iliass Hammouche – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands
Game Overview
The bout between Sergej Braun and Iliass Hammouche is a middleweight MMA fight scheduled as part of the GLORY 104 event held at the RTM Stage in the Netherlands. Both fighters are experienced kickboxers transitioning in MMA, with Sergej Braun holding a professional record of 45-14 with 27 KOs and Iliass Hammouche holding a record of 34-8 with 7 KOs. The fight is highly anticipated, showcasing two technically skilled strikers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sergej Braun's recent MMA record is 2-2 with no KOs, indicating a tendency to go to decisions. Iliass Hammouche has a solid record but less striking power by KO count. Braun has faced high-level opposition including champion Donovan Wisse, learning and adapting post-fight. Hammouche's style is less documented, but his record suggests consistency.
- No direct prior matchups recorded between Sergej Braun and Iliass Hammouche in MMA or kickboxing, making this fight a fresh challenge for both athletes.
- No public information indicates any current injuries for either fighter leading into this match.
- The fight is part of a major GLORY event with a large audience on DAZN, possibly affecting fighter motivation and pressure. The venue in the Netherlands does not confer an obvious home advantage to either fighter, as Braun is German and Hammouche's nationality is less clear.
- Braun has expressed enhanced motivation following his recent loss to champion Donovan Wisse, seeing it as a strengthening experience. Hammouche aims to assert himself against a top opponent. Both fighters are likely highly motivated to advance in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sergej Braun: -150, Iliass Hammouche: +130, Draw: +900 | Sergej Braun | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Braun -1.5: +120, Hammouche +1.5: -140 | Braun -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Braun's recent experience against top-tier competition and higher KO power historically, a close fight is expected but the prediction favors Sergej Braun to win by decision or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Braun wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)