Match Analysis: Richie Miranda vs Ilay Barzilay – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ventura County Fairgrounds, Ventura, California
Game Overview
Lightweight title defense match at LFA 215 between Richie Miranda (11-1), the reigning champion known for strong grappling, and Ilay Barzilay, an undefeated contender.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miranda has shown consistent dominance with a grappling-heavy style, recently defending his title successfully. Barzilay remains undefeated, exhibiting strong striking and steady improvement.
- No prior fights between Miranda and Barzilay; this will be their first encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, both appear in peak condition.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue with both having equal travel demands; no reported issues affecting preparations.
- Miranda highly motivated to maintain championship status and prove superiority; Barzilay motivated to claim first major title and remain undefeated.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richie Miranda: -200, Ilay Barzilay: +150 | Richie Miranda | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Richie Miranda -1.5: -115, Ilay Barzilay +1.5: -105 | Richie Miranda -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 Rounds: -120, Under 2.5 Rounds: +100 | Over 2.5 Rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richie Miranda -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Richie Miranda at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Richie Miranda to win via decision
Predicted Score: Miranda wins by decision after 3 rounds