Match Analysis: Igor Włodarczyk vs Dominik Gabner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Olsztyn, Poland

Game Overview

Igor Włodarczyk faces Dominik Gabner in a KSW 108 lightweight bout. Włodarczyk is the strong favorite given his superior recent performance and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Włodarczyk has demonstrated consistency with multiple recent wins and a higher level of ring control compared to Gabner, who has shown inconsistency in recent fights.
• There are no recorded direct clashes between Włodarczyk and Gabner, making form and external factors critical for prediction.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter, indicating both are physically prepared for the bout.
• The fight takes place in Olsztyn, Poland, giving Włodarczyk home crowd support and likely psychological edge. Gabner is the away fighter, which may affect his performance negatively.
• Włodarczyk is highly motivated to solidify his dominance in the KSW lightweight division, while Gabner is an underdog looking for an upset but has less momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Włodarczyk -400, Gabner +300	Włodarczyk	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Włodarczyk -1.5 rounds (-150), Gabner +1.5 rounds (+130)	Włodarczyk -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Igor Włodarczyk to win by decision

Predicted Score: Włodarczyk wins by decision after 3 rounds