Match Analysis: Rafael Fiziev vs Ignacio Bahamondes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

This UFC Fight Night co-main event features Rafael Fiziev, a sharp Muay Thai striker with a 66.7% KO/TKO rate, facing off against Ignacio Bahamondes, an aggressive, high-volume striker known for his reach and explosive knockout power. The bout is set in Baku, Azerbaijan, on June 21, 2025, promising an intense striking battle between two dynamic fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rafael Fiziev has shown elite precision and power in striking, typically controlling stand-up exchanges with speed and technique. Bahamondes brings a relentless volume and reach advantage, with 11 KO/TKO wins indicative of his finishing capability. Both fighters have aggressive styles enhancing the likelihood of a stoppage.
• No previous head-to-head bouts recorded between Fiziev and Bahamondes, making this a fresh matchup with stylistic contrasts—Fiziev's technical Muay Thai versus Bahamondes' high-volume reach striking.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, suggesting both athletes are in peak physical condition.
• The fight location in Baku means neither fighter has home crowd advantage; however, Fiziev’s presence in a high-profile UFC event after a recent performance blip adds psychological motivation. Bahamondes recently earned a UFC contract with a spectacular KO, boosting his confidence significantly.
• Bahamondes is highly motivated, having dramatically impressed UFC President Dana White with a KO contender performance and expressing strong willingness to engage in a 'banger' fight. Fiziev aims to rebound with a knockout win to reassert his elite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ignacio Bahamondes: -130, Rafael Fiziev: 110	Rafael Fiziev	Not available
Spread	Ignacio Bahamondes -3.5: 140, Rafael Fiziev +3.5: -195	Rafael Fiziev +3.5	Not available
Over/under	Over 2.5: -188, Under 2.5: 145	Under 2.5 rounds	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ignacio Bahamondes -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Fiziev is predicted to win by KO/TKO, leveraging his precision striking and power to overcome Bahamondes' reach and volume attack. The fight is expected to end in the second round, with Fiziev exploiting openings created from Bahamondes' high output.

Predicted Score: Rafael Fiziev wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Ignacio Bahamondes vs Jalin Turner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ignacio Bahamondes faces Jalin Turner in a lightweight bout at UFC 313. Bahamondes is favored, coming off a recent win, while Turner seeks redemption after a loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ignacio Bahamondes has a strong record with 16 wins and 5 losses, recently winning by TKO. Jalin Turner has 14 wins and 8 losses, with his last fight ending in a TKO loss.
• This is the first meeting between Bahamondes and Turner.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Turner looking to bounce back from a loss and Bahamondes aiming to continue his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ignacio Bahamondes: -130, Jalin Turner: +110	Ignacio Bahamondes	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Ignacio Bahamondes: -3.5 +120, Jalin Turner: +3.5 -160	Jalin Turner +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -175, Under 1.5: +135	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Ignacio Bahamondes is predicted to win due to his recent form and strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Bahamondes wins by decision or late-round stoppage.