Match Analysis: Ieuan Mackenzie vs Keir Harvie – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193
Game Overview
The bantamweight main card fight between Ieuan Mackenzie and Keir Harvie features two well-matched fighters competing in Cage Warriors 193 in Newcastle. The bout is expected to be competitive given recent form and fighting styles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ieuan Mackenzie has shown solid recent form with consistent striking accuracy and good takedown defense. Keir Harvie, slightly taller and with longer reach, has recently improved his grappling and cardio, which may give him an edge in later rounds.
- No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Mackenzie and Harvie, so no direct comparative history is available.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full strength.
- The fight takes place in Newcastle, which may favor Mackenzie slightly due to proximity and fan support, although both fighters are accustomed to Cage Warriors settings.
- Keir Harvie, at 27 years old, appears motivated to climb the Cage Warriors ladder, having lost a close split decision in his last fight. Mackenzie seeks to maintain his winning streak and increase his promotion visibility.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Keir Harvie -155, Ieuan Mackenzie 115 | Keir Harvie | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Keir Harvie -1.5 (+140), Ieuan Mackenzie +1.5 (-160) | Keir Harvie -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Keir Harvie -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Keir Harvie at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Keir Harvie to win via decision
Predicted Score: Keir Harvie wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds