Match Analysis: San Jose State Spartans vs Idaho Vandals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Stadium
Game Overview
San Jose State Spartans host the Idaho Vandals with San Jose State heavily favored despite an 0-2 start to the season, while Idaho comes in at 2-1. The Spartans have a clear talent advantage playing at home, but Idaho's recent form and efficiency present a challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Idaho Vandals hold a 2-1 record showing decent form early, while San Jose State Spartans are 0-2 with struggles on offense and defense. San Jose State has a mixed history ATS but are still favored due to home advantage and stronger roster.
- Limited recent matchups, but historically San Jose State has been more competitive at home. No major upset trends identified.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact expected performance.
- Game at CEFCU Stadium, San Jose with warm clear weather (~79°F) and calm conditions favoring home team execution.
- San Jose State looks to end early season struggles and protect home reputation; Idaho aims to build momentum with an upset for further program recognition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Idaho +440, San Jose State -610 | San Jose State Spartans | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | San Jose State -14.5 -110, Idaho +14.5 -110 | San Jose State -14.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 50.5 -110, Under 50.5 -110 | Under 50.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Jose State Spartans -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 50.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Jose State to cover the -14.5 spread, Moneyline San Jose State, and under 50.5 total points.
Predicted Score: San Jose State 28 – Idaho 12