Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:05 PM UTC
• Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the Idaho State Bengals in a Week 2 Mountain West Conference contest. Both teams are off to slow starts, with New Mexico 0-1 and Idaho State 0-2. The Lobos are heavily favored at home, reflecting a strong home field advantage and superior historical performance against Idaho State.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Mexico is 0-1 overall, showing some struggles early but demonstrated solid defense at home last season. Idaho State is 0-2, with offensive production issues and a poor road record. Idaho State is 4-1 ATS in last 5 games, indicating they cover spreads well despite losses.
• Recent head-to-head matchups favor New Mexico, who have had better success both straight up and against the spread. New Mexico’s defense has consistently contained Idaho State’s offense in previous meetings.
• Idaho State's injury report is limited with no major starters missing. New Mexico has WR Kader Diop as a backup due to an undisclosed injury, but Shawn Miller is cleared and expected to contribute.
• Game is at altitude (~5350 ft) favoring New Mexico’s conditioning and home advantage. Weather is mild (76°F) with minimal rain and light wind, unlikely to affect gameplay significantly.
• New Mexico seeks to avoid an 0-2 start at home to build early season momentum, while Idaho State aims to rebound from a 0-2 start but faces the challenge of a tough road environment.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos moneyline (ML -610) is the highest expected value play given the strong home advantage and better overall team performance. The spread of -14.5 to New Mexico is risky but moderately supported due to Idaho State's struggles. The total points line at 63.5 is high, but Idaho State’s defense weakness and tendency for high-scoring games favor the over slightly.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 38 – Idaho State Bengals 20

Match Analysis: UNLV Rebels vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium

Game Overview

UNLV Rebels face Idaho State Bengals in a strong mismatch at Allegiant Stadium with UNLV heavily favored due to superior recent form, talent, and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNLV is coming off an 11-3 season with 5 straight wins, showing dominant performances especially at home. Idaho State struggled last season (5-7) and has shown a poor road record (0-5), with a weak defense that struggled to contain opponents.
• UNLV has won all recent meetings against non-AP-ranked teams like Idaho State, covering the spread in 14 of its last 16 non-ranked matchups.
• No significant injuries reported for either team that would alter expected performance markedly. UNLV appears to have full squad depth.
• Game at Allegiant Stadium provides UNLV a home field advantage in a large, modern venue. Early season timing likely means UNLV's superior talent depth manifests as they shake off early jitters.
• UNLV motivated to start strong and maintain momentum building towards a high-profile season, while Idaho State aims to prove itself despite lower odds but with less incentive compared to stronger squad.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UNLV Rebels dominate on moneyline and spread, with the game going over the 65.5 total points due to Idaho State's porous defense and UNLV’s high-powered offense.

Predicted Score: UNLV Rebels 44 – Idaho State Bengals 11

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Match Analysis: Idaho State Bengals vs Montana St Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Idaho Central Arena

Game Overview

The Idaho State Bengals host the Montana State Bobcats in a Big Sky matchup. Both teams have similar overall records, with Idaho State at 15-14 and Montana State at 14-17. Idaho State is coming off a recent loss to Northern Arizona, while Montana State has shown strength in their last game against Sacramento State.

Key Factors to Consider

• Idaho State averages 74.8 points per game and allows 69.6 points per game. Montana State has struggled on the road with only three wins. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately.
• Montana State has dominated the head-to-head, winning nine of the last ten meetings. However, Idaho State is 4-1 in their last five games and has been strong against the spread.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Idaho State's home venue, which could provide an advantage. However, Montana State's recent form and historical dominance over Idaho State are notable factors.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win, especially given their similar records and the importance of conference standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montana State is favored by a small margin, but Idaho State's recent form and home advantage make this a competitive matchup.

Predicted Score: Montana State 72, Idaho State 69

Match Analysis: Idaho State Bengals vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 4, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Reed Gym, Pocatello, ID

Game Overview

The Idaho State Bengals host the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks in a Big Sky Conference matchup. Idaho State is favored, with a strong recent performance, while Northern Arizona looks to challenge despite being the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Idaho State has been performing well, winning four of their last five games, including recent victories against Eastern Washington and Idaho. Northern Arizona has a record of 16-14 but faces a tough test on the road.
• Recent head-to-head data is not detailed, but Idaho State's current form suggests an advantage. Northern Arizona's performance away from home will be crucial.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup, but both teams should be relatively healthy given the timing in the season.
• The game is played at Idaho State's home court, which could provide an advantage. However, Northern Arizona's ability to adapt on the road will be important.
• Both teams are motivated as they approach the end of the regular season, but Idaho State's recent success might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Idaho State is likely to win due to their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Idaho State 78, Northern Arizona 72

Match Analysis: Eastern Washington Eagles vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cheney, Washington

Game Overview

Eastern Washington Eagles host Idaho State Bengals in a Big Sky Conference matchup. The Eagles are looking to improve their conference standing, while the Bengals aim to extend their recent winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Eastern Washington has shown strong conference performance in the past, but their current season is mixed. Idaho State is on a three-game win streak, indicating improved form.
• In their previous matchup, Eastern Washington beat Idaho State 88-82, with Casey Jones scoring 26 points. However, Idaho State has since improved their performance.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home advantage could favor Eastern Washington, but Idaho State's recent momentum might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to secure better conference standings, but Idaho State's recent wins might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Idaho State Bengals to win outright.

Predicted Score: Idaho State Bengals 73, Eastern Washington Eagles 69

Match Analysis: Idaho Vandals vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-28
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Idaho Vandals' home venue

Game Overview

The Idaho Vandals host the Idaho State Bengals in a crucial NCAAB matchup. Idaho State has historically performed well against Idaho, particularly on the road. However, Idaho's recent ATS performance in February suggests potential for a competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Idaho State has shown strong performance against Idaho, but Idaho's recent ATS record in February is promising. Idaho State's ability to score and rebound could be decisive.
• Idaho State has a strong head-to-head record, especially on the road against Idaho. However, Idaho has managed some ATS wins in recent games.
• No specific injury reports are available, but both teams should be cautious about player health given the late season timing.
• The late-season timing might influence team strategies, with coaches balancing rest and performance to secure better tournament positions.
• Both teams have motivation to win, but Idaho State's historical dominance and current form might give them an edge in terms of confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Idaho State Bengals to win outright.

Predicted Score: Idaho State Bengals 78, Idaho Vandals 72

Match Analysis: Idaho State Bengals vs Sacramento St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Reed Gym, Pocatello, Idaho

Game Overview

Idaho State Bengals host Sacramento State Hornets in a Big Sky matchup. The Bengals are favored by 10 points, reflecting their stronger performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Idaho State has a better record at 12-13 compared to Sacramento State's 7-20. The Bengals have also performed well against the spread this season.
• No recent head-to-head data is available, but Idaho State's overall performance suggests an advantage.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home advantage could benefit Idaho State, but Sacramento State might be motivated to upset.
• Sacramento State may be motivated to pull off an upset, while Idaho State aims to secure a win at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Idaho State is likely to win due to their stronger season performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Idaho State 75, Sacramento State 65

Match Analysis: Idaho State Bengals vs Portland St Vikings – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-20
• Time: 02:00:00
• Location: Reed Gym, Pocatello, ID

Game Overview

Idaho State Bengals host Portland State Vikings in a Big Sky Conference matchup. Idaho State is favored with a spread of -2.5, while Portland State seeks to continue its strong form after a recent win over Northern Colorado.

Key Factors to Consider

• Idaho State averages 74.1 points per game and has a strong home record of 8-3. Portland State scores 77.3 points per game and has been defensively solid, recently holding opponents to 59.5 points on average.
• Portland State has dominated the head-to-head, winning seven of the last ten matchups, including a recent 76-59 victory over Idaho State.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Idaho State's home court, which could provide an advantage. However, Portland State's recent defensive performances have been impressive.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in the Big Sky Conference, but Portland State's recent success might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Portland State Vikings to win, based on their strong recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Predicted Score: Portland State 75, Idaho State 72