Match Analysis: Tatsuro Taira vs Hyun Sung Park – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This Flyweight UFC main event pits Tatsuro Taira, a highly skilled 25-year-old with a 16-1 record, against the undefeated 29-year-old Hyun Sung Park from South Korea, who is stepping in on short notice. Taira has more octagon experience and reach advantage, while Park carries a very high finishing rate and remains undefeated.

Key Factors to Consider

• Taira has fought at a higher level with recent experience against top-tier fighters like Brandon Royval but comes off a split decision loss. Park is undefeated (10-0) with a 90% finishing rate, showing explosiveness and strong submission skills but less UFC experience.
• No previous head-to-head encounters. This will be their first matchup.
• No reported injuries for either fighter; Park is stepping in on short notice but appears healthy.
• The fight is at UFC Apex, which is neutral ground for both fighters. Park is short-notice replacement, which may affect conditioning or strategy.
• Park is motivated to capitalize on the sudden opportunity to break into the UFC flyweight spotlight, while Taira seeks to rebound from his last loss to restore his rise to the top ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Taira -355, Park +280	Tatsuro Taira	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Taira -5.5 (-195), Park +5.5 (+140)	Tatsuro Taira -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 3.5 (-105), Under 3.5 (-125)	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tatsuro Taira -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Tatsuro Taira to win. Spread: Tatsuro Taira to win by more than 5.5 points (dominant decision or finish). Over/Under: Under 3.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Taira wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage before round 4

Match Analysis: Hyun Sung Park vs Carlos Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 17, 2025
• Time: 8:40 PM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX

Game Overview

Hyun Sung Park, an undefeated flyweight prospect, faces Carlos Hernandez in a critical flyweight bout. Park is known for his impactful performances, having won the Road to UFC tournament, while Hernandez acts as a solid gatekeeper in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hyun Sung Park has shown impressive striking and grappling skills, though he often relies on patience. Carlos Hernandez is technically sound with strong wrestling skills, which can be decisive in his bouts.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No recent injury reports for either fighter.
• Park's long layoff could affect his performance, while Hernandez's durability might be a challenge for Park.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, as a victory would be a step forward in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hyun Sung Park: -175, Carlos Hernandez: 145	Hyun Sung Park	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Hyun Sung Park: -3.5 110, Carlos Hernandez: 3.5 -150	Hyun Sung Park	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -238, Under: 2.5 180	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hyun Sung Park -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Hyun Sung Park is favored to win due to his well-rounded skills, though Carlos Hernandez's wrestling could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Hyun Sung Park wins by decision