Match Analysis: Wojciech Kawa vs Hugo Deux – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland
Game Overview
The lightweight MMA bout between Wojciech Kawa and Hugo Deux at KSW 112 features two contrasting fighters. Kawa is recognized for his powerful striking and endurance, while Deux is known for quick submissions and agility. Their prior performances suggest an evenly matched contest, potentially hinging on whether Kawa can impose striking dominance or Deux can capitalize on ground skills.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wojciech Kawa holds a record of 9 wins and 3 losses, showing strong striking ability and stamina. Hugo Deux, with a 5-1 record, leverages quick submissions and agility, having finished several opponents via TKO or decision. Both fighters have shown resilience and finishing capability in their recent bouts.
- Direct historical matchup data between Kawa and Deux is limited or unavailable, indicating this may be their first encounter in professional MMA.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are likely at full fitness.
- The fight takes place in Poland, Kawa's home country, which could provide a psychological and crowd support advantage. Event conditions at the Netto Arena are standard for KSW events.
- Kawa might be motivated to defend home advantage and solidify his standing in KSW's lightweight rankings. Deux will be driven to prove himself against a local favorite and reinforce his reputation as a submission threat.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hugo_Deux: +110, Wojciech_Kawa: -150 | Wojciech Kawa | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Wojciech_Kawa_-1.5_rounds: -130, Hugo_Deux_+1.5_rounds: +110 | Wojciech Kawa by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wojciech Kawa -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Wojciech Kawa at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Kawa's favorability in the moneyline odds and his striking power, the prediction leans toward Wojciech Kawa winning by decision or knockout, though Hugo Deux's submission threat keeps the contest competitive.
Predicted Score: Wojciech Kawa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds