The Houston Astros host the New York Yankees in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup with both teams holding nearly identical records (Astros 77-63, Yankees 77-62). Probable pitchers are Cristian Javier for Houston and Carlos Rodon for New York, setting up a close pitching duel.
Key Factors to Consider
Astros have a strong home record (43-31) while Yankees are slightly above .500 on the road (36-34). Yankees' offense led by Aaron Judge and supported by Bellinger and Goldschmidt boasts a solid batting line (.251 avg, .331 OBP, .458 SLG). Pitching-wise, Yankees staff has a 3.93 ERA and 1.26 WHIP; Rodon is performing well with a 15-7 record and 3.18 ERA. Astros have been resilient and recently completed a comeback win, entering this game with momentum.
Rodon holds a historical advantage over the Astros with a 4-0 record and 2.51 ERA against them. Astros' Javier has been solid but has limited volume in innings this season. Against the spread, Rodon's starts have been less favorable for Yankees (11-17 ATS), while Javier's Astros are 2-2 ATS in his starts. NumberFire predicts a slight edge for Yankees (52.26% win probability) over Astros (47.74%).
No significant injuries reported for either side that would impact starting pitching or lineup availability.
Game played at Daikin Park, a Houston stadium with a generally neutral to slightly hitter-friendly environment. Weather and other external factors currently no major impact indicated.
Both teams are tightly matched in the standings late in the season, motivation is high to secure a crucial win for playoff positioning. Astros coming off a comeback and riding home momentum; Yankees have strong motivation with solid form from Rodon and core hitters.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Houston Astros: +116, New York Yankees: -136
New York Yankees
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Houston Astros +1.5: -138, New York Yankees -1.5: +115
New York Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -114, Under 8.5: -106
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pick the New York Yankees moneyline as the highest expected value play due to superior starting pitching history (Rodon’s dominance over Astros), more reliable bullpen support, and Yankees’ slightly better recent form and offensive efficiency. Expect a low-scoring tight game favoring New York in clutch situations.
This MLB matchup features the Houston Astros hosting the Los Angeles Angels. The Astros have a solid 75-62 record and are slight favorites at home, while the Angels hold a 64-72 record and have won 2 of the last 3 games in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games but only 2-3 against the spread recently; Angels have won two of the last three games in the series, with strong pitching in the last match where the Angels allowed zero runs.
Astros lead the season and hold a better overall record, but Angels have recent momentum with two wins in the current series.
No major injury reports affecting starting pitchers or key players from either side noted.
Game is outdoors in Houston with 85°F temperature, 20% chance of rain, and 5 mph wind, conditions favoring pitchers.
Astros are pushing to secure playoff positioning and are motivated as home favorites; Angels have less at stake but may continue strong pitching to salvage the series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Houston Astros -142, Los Angeles Angels +129
Houston Astros
★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread
Houston Astros -1.5 +147, Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -167
Los Angeles Angels +1.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -107, Under 8.5 -113
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Houston Astros 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Houston Astros to win moneyline, Angels +1.5 on spread, Under 8.5 runs total
Predicted Score: Houston Astros 4, Los Angeles Angels 2