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Ajax vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ajax vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

Ajax hosts Heracles Almelo in the third round of the 2025-26 Eredivisie season. Ajax currently sit sixth with 4 points after a win and a draw, demonstrating solid attacking form. Heracles Almelo are bottom of the table after two heavy losses and a red card in their last game, indicating struggles both defensively and in discipline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ajax showed strong offensive performance with 4 goals across two league matches and have been prolific in scoring recently. Heracles have conceded 8 goals in two games and face defensive vulnerabilities, especially after a key player was sent off in their last match.
  • Ajax hold a dominant record over Heracles Almelo with 7 wins and 1 draw in their last 8 meetings. Ajax has been unbeaten against Heracles in recent encounters.
  • No major injury information available for either side from the current data, implying both teams may have their squads intact.
  • The game is played at Ajax's home ground, Johan Cruijff Arena, giving them the home advantage in terms of familiar surroundings and crowd support.
  • Ajax is highly motivated to end their title drought and assert dominance early in the season, while Heracles are desperate to gain points to escape the relegation zone and recover from a poor start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ajax: -600, Heracles_Almelo: 1300, Draw: 625 Ajax Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Ajax: -2.25 at 1.02, Heracles_Almelo: +2.25 at -1.22 Ajax -2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over_3.5: -1.08, Under_3.5: -1.12 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ajax -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax is strongly favored to win due to superior form, better squad quality, home advantage, and past dominance over Heracles Almelo.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Heracles Almelo vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heracles Almelo vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Erve Asito, Almelo, Netherlands

Game Overview

The match between Heracles Almelo and NEC Nijmegen is a Dutch Eredivisie fixture at Erve Asito stadium. Heracles currently sits 16th in the league and has been struggling with form, while NEC is positioned 2nd, reflecting stronger recent performances. Their previous encounters have seen competitive matches, including a 2-1 win for NEC in May 2025. The game promises intensity given the disparity in league position but close historical matches.[1][3][4]

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heracles Almelo has been underperforming this season, suffering multiple defeats and placing them near the bottom of the table. NEC Nijmegen, in contrast, is in excellent form, holding 2nd place and showing better attacking and defensive stats. NEC’s recent matches demonstrate more consistent scoring and defensive resilience.[1][4]
  • The teams met twice last season with NEC having the edge in results. The most recent match on May 18, 2025, ended 2-1 in favor of NEC Nijmegen, highlighting NEC's ability to prevail in close contests. Historically, matches are typically balanced but NEC has gained momentum in recent meetings.[1][3][4]
  • No explicit injury information is available from the current data sources regarding key player absences for either team. This suggests squads may be close to full strength or no major injuries have been reported.[1][4]
  • The match is at the Erve Asito stadium, giving Heracles home advantage. However, Heracles’ current form and NEC's high league standing may offset this. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported but should be considered neutral at this time.[1][2]
  • Heracles Almelo faces pressure to improve results to avoid further relegation risk, likely increasing their motivation. NEC Nijmegen aims to maintain its top league position and push for the title, providing strong incentive for points away from home.[1][4]

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heracles Almelo: 180, NEC Nijmegen: 143, Draw: 240 NEC Nijmegen Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Heracles Almelo 0: 105, NEC Nijmegen 0: -125 NEC Nijmegen -0 Draw No Bet β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Under 2.75 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen is favored to win given superior form, league position, and recent head-to-head success. The probability of a draw remains notable as Heracles can defend home turf, but an NEC victory is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Heracles Almelo 1 – 2 NEC Nijmegen


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FC Utrecht vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, Netherlands

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts Heracles Almelo in the opening match of the 2025-26 Eredivisie season. Utrecht finished 4th last season and have started their UEFA Europa League qualifiers strongly, showcasing good form. Heracles Almelo, finishing 14th last season, have a new coach aiming for mid-table stability but remain the underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Utrecht have demonstrated strong form domestically and in Europe, winning convincingly in qualifying rounds. Heracles Almelo performed modestly last season with slight improvement under new management but remain significantly weaker than Utrecht.
  • Recent head-to-head matches favor FC Utrecht, who generally control encounters against Heracles Almelo. Last season, Utrecht comfortably finished higher in the league and won both league matches against Heracles Almelo.
  • No major injury reports available for either team prior to the match that might significantly affect lineup or performance.
  • Match played at Stadion Galgenwaard, home ground for Utrecht, providing them an advantage. Utrecht's confidence boosted by European performance, while Heracles may face pressure adapting under new coach Bas Sibum.
  • Utrecht motivated to start season strongly to maintain and improve on last season’s high finish and continue positive European campaign. Heracles motivated to avoid early season losses to build momentum given their mid-lower table objectives.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Utrecht: -183, Heracles Almelo: 460, Draw: 320 FC Utrecht β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread FC Utrecht -1: -108, Heracles Almelo +1: -112 FC Utrecht -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Utrecht is favored to win due to superior recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance, with a likely controlled but confident performance.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
FC Utrecht vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction FC Utrecht Win -183 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction Minnesota United FC -0.5 -164 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Moreirense FC vs. Alverca Prediction Moreirense FC -0.25 -125 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +348

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $89.62

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PSV Eindhoven vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-14
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Game Overview

The match between PSV Eindhoven and Heracles Almelo is a Dutch Eredivisie fixture in Round 33 where PSV, positioned 2nd in the league with 73 points, face Heracles who hold 12th place with 38 points. PSV have been in strong form, winning five of their last six league games and scoring an average of 3 goals per game in that span. Heracles have seen moderate improvement recently but their away form remains poor and defensive frailties are evident, having conceded 66 goals this season. The historical dominance of PSV over Heracles is considerable, with PSV winning the vast majority of their encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven have demonstrated potent attacking form, averaging 2.67 goals per game this season and maintaining a high scoring rate recently. Heracles Almelo's offense is less prolific with 1.16 goals per game, while defensively they have been vulnerable, conceding 66 goals so far. PSV’s defense has also been somewhat porous lately, managing only one clean sheet in the last six matches, but their attacking firepower overwhelmingly compensates.
  • PSV overwhelmingly dominate the head-to-head record with 33 wins out of 41 matches against Heracles, who have recorded only one win historically. The recent encounter in August 2024 saw PSV win 3-1 at home. PSV average 2.41 goals per game against Heracles and have consistently beaten them by a significant margin in recent seasons.
  • No specific injury information is provided from the current data sources for key players in either squad ahead of this match.
  • The game is hosted at Philips Stadion, giving PSV the home advantage. There are no specific external factors such as weather or travel disruptions reported that could significantly impact the match outcome.
  • PSV, as strong contenders for the title and sitting high in the table, are motivated to maintain momentum and secure maximum points. Heracles, safely positioned mid-table but with inconsistent form, have less at stake but will be motivated to avoid a heavy defeat on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heracles Almelo: 2000, PSV Eindhoven: -1667, Draw: 1000 PSV Eindhoven to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Heracles Almelo: +2.75 @ 100, PSV Eindhoven: -2.75 @ -120 PSV Eindhoven -2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 4 goals: -112, Under 4 goals: -108 Over 4 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given PSV's dominant form, historical success against Heracles, and superior home advantage, the predicted outcome is a decisive victory for PSV Eindhoven.

Predicted Score: PSV Eindhoven 4 – 1 Heracles Almelo


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
PSV Eindhoven vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction PSV Eindhoven -2.75 -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam Prediction FC Utrecht Win -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Groningen vs. Ajax Prediction Ajax -0.75 -119 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +519

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $123.71

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Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Willem II vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands

Game Overview

Willem II Tilburg hosts Heracles Almelo in an Eredivisie clash where the home team is struggling near the relegation zone (16th, 25 points), while the visitors (12th, 35 points) are comfortably mid-table. Willem II has lost five of their last six home matches, while Heracles has lost three of their last six away. The match is expected to feature attacking play, with the total score likely to exceed 2.5 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Willem II has only managed 3 wins in their last 23 Eredivisie matches and is on a run of 5 straight home defeats. Heracles, though inconsistent, has fared better, especially given their higher league position and recent results.
  • In 33 H2H matches, Willem II has lost 18 times to Heracles. In their most recent encounters this season, Heracles has generally had the upper hand.
  • No specific injury news reported for either team.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. The match will be played at Willem II's home stadium, but their recent poor home form diminishes the home advantage.
  • Willem II has strong motivation to avoid relegation, but poor form may impact confidence. Heracles, while safe from relegation, will aim for a higher finish and pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heracles Almelo: 170, Willem II: 150, Draw: 230 Heracles Almelo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Heracles Almelo: 0 -102, Willem II: 0 -118 Heracles Almelo (Draw No Bet) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Over/under Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heracles Almelo 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Heracles Almelo is the more consistent team, and given Willem II's dire home form and poor head-to-head record, Heracles is the safer bet to win or at least avoid defeat. Goals are likely, with both teams finding the net and the match finishing over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Heracles Almelo 2 – 1 Willem II


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 30%
VfL Wolfsburg vs. TSG Hoffenheim Prediction VfL Wolfsburg 125 24%
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 19%

Combined Odds: +668 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $153.62

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
AC Milan vs. Bologna Prediction Under 2.5 -116 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Las Palmas vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Draw Win 230 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Willem II vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.5 -120 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1027

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $225.31

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Parma vs. Juventus Prediction Juventus -0.75 100 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Botafogo Prediction Estudiantes La Plata -0.25 -118 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Groningen vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction Over 2.25 -118 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +583

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $136.52

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