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Heerenveen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

A pivotal relegation battle between struggling Heerenveen (16th) and Excelsior (17th), both desperate for points to move up the table. The match features two teams with porous defenses and inconsistent form, promising a high-stakes, tense encounter with significant impacts on the league standings[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have only managed a 33% win rate in their last 6 home matches, showing vulnerability even on their own turf. Excelsior, however, have a more promising away record, with a 50% win rate in their last 4 away games and a 75% cover rate, indicating they often outperform expectations on the road[1]. Both teams have conceded regularly, with both teams scoring in a high percentage of their matches[1][2].
  • No detailed head-to-head data provided in the search results, but both teams are in the relegation zone, suggesting historical matchups may have been similarly tight.
  • No specific injury news available from the search results.
  • No significant external factors mentioned in the search results, but both teams are under pressure, which may impact performance.
  • Extremely high for both sides. A loss could further sink either club deeper into relegation trouble, while a win offers a crucial lifeline. This is a must-win match for both squads[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior 320, Heerenveen -152, Draw 320 Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Excelsior 75 102, Heerenveen -0.75 -122 Excelsior +0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 102, Under 3.25 -122 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tense, hard-fought encounter with both teams scoring. While Heerenveen are slight home favorites, Excelsior’s recent away resilience and Heerenveen’s defensive fragility suggest there is value backing the visitors to secure at least a draw. Over 3.25 goals looks well-supported by the data.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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FC Utrecht vs. Heerenveen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts Heerenveen in this Eredivisie clash where Utrecht holds a points and form advantage while playing at home, making them favorites to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Utrecht has 9 points from 6 games with a home record of two wins in three matches. Heerenveen has 5 points from 6 games and shows less consistent recent form.
  • Historically, Utrecht and Heerenveen are closely matched, but Utrecht is unbeaten in 21 of their last 23 encounters and has the edge in recent meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams are at near full strength.
  • Match played at FC Utrecht’s stadium favors the home side; no notable external disruptions or weather concerns reported.
  • Utrecht motivated to consolidate a higher league position with strong home support; Heerenveen seeks to improve poor away form and overall standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: +310, draw: +310 Home Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -0.75 -105, away: 75 -115 FC Utrecht -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: +100, under: -120 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht 146%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Utrecht at 146% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Utrecht to win

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Heerenveen vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen meet in a closely contested Eredivisie fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form, with NEC slightly more efficient offensively, but traveling away from home. The match is expected to be tight with scoring chances on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have struggled for wins early this season, showing possession control but poor finishing. NEC Nijmegen have scored well but also conceded heavily recently, suffering back-to-back losses including a 5-3 loss to PSV.
  • Recent encounters suggest a very narrow margin; the previous H2H saw Heerenveen narrowly win 1-0 away, indicating a competitive but low-margin matchup.
  • No major injury reports contradicting either side's usual first-choice lineup; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Abe Lenstra Stadion gives Heerenveen home advantage. No significant weather or other disruptive factors reported.
  • Heerenveen are eager to turn their slow start into positive results at home, while NEC seek to regain form and stop a losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen: +134, NEC Nijmegen: +159, Draw: +300 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Heerenveen 0: -122, NEC Nijmegen 0: +102 NEC Nijmegen +0 (Asian Handicap) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Feyenoord vs. Heerenveen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs Heerenveen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: De Kuip, Rotterdam

Game Overview

Feyenoord enters as strong favorites at home against Heerenveen, with superior recent form and historical dominance. This early-season Eredivisie clash features Feyenoord riding a strong momentum after a 4-0 win, while Heerenveen struggles for points but shows scoreboard resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Feyenoord boasts an impressive start with 3 wins in 4 matches and a +7 goal difference, including a recent 4-0 victory. Heerenveen has yet to win this season and has a weaker overall form despite scoring in recent matches.
  • Historically, Feyenoord leads significantly with 38 wins in 70 encounters and won both matches last season convincingly (6-1 home, 3-2 away). Matches between these teams often see goals, with a notable number of 2-2 draws but Feyenoord generally prevailing at home.
  • No specific injury information available currently, suggesting squad strength remains largely intact for both sides.
  • Playing at De Kuip offers Feyenoord a strong home advantage with large, passionate support. No disruptive external factors such as weather or travel issues have been reported.
  • Feyenoord aims to maintain their top form and assert domestic dominance early in the season, while Heerenveen is motivated to salvage points to avoid early relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -265, away: +600, draw: +410 Feyenoord ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Feyenoord -1.25: -120, Heerenveen +1.25: +100 Feyenoord -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over 3: -110, under 3: -110 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Feyenoord -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 goal spread, and the match to go over 3 goals total.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Heerenveen vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

Heerenveen and Go Ahead Eagles face off in an Eredivisie match with both teams struggling in the early season, urgently seeking points to lift their standings. Heerenveen hosts at home and aims to capitalize on their familiar environment, while Go Ahead Eagles bring slightly better recent form but remain vulnerable defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen has just 1 point from 3 matches and sits 15th, showing weakness but home advantage could be crucial. Go Ahead Eagles are in 13th with 2 points and slightly better recent performances, but both teams have defensive lapses leading to expected open play.
  • Recent H2H data is mixed, but slight edge to Heerenveen at home historically. Prior encounters suggest close matches, with goals scored on both sides, supporting a competitive game.
  • No major injury reports affecting key players on either squad have surfaced, indicating both teams can field near full strength.
  • No significant external influences such as weather or travel fatigue are expected; match played at Heerenveen’s home ground offers them stability.
  • Both teams are motivated to avoid early season pressure and relegation battles; Heerenveen particularly motivated to secure first season win at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen: 122, Go Ahead Eagles: 195, Draw: 285 Heerenveen ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Heerenveen -0.25: -102, Go Ahead Eagles +25: -118 Heerenveen -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: 100, Under 3: -120 Under 3 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Heerenveen to win on the moneyline; Heerenveen -0.25 on the spread; Under 3 goals on Over/Under market.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Heerenveen vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

Heerenveen vs FC Twente Enschede is a key Eredivisie match on matchday 3 with both teams struggling early in the season. Heerenveen sits 14th with 1 point from a draw and a loss, while Twente is bottom with 0 points from two losses. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and are eager for a momentum-building win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen has 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 2 and conceding 3 goals. Twente has lost twice, failing to score and conceding 3, reflecting poor offensive form so far.
  • Recent H2H favors Twente with 2 wins and 3 draws in last 5 meetings. The last match was a thrilling 3-3 draw, indicating offensive potential from both sides.
  • No major injury news reported on either side, suggesting both squads likely at near full strength.
  • Playing at home, Heerenveen have moderate home advantage but Twente's season desperation may offset typical away disadvantages.
  • Twente is highly motivated to avoid consecutive early losses and secure its first win, while Heerenveen wants to stabilize after a shaky start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen: 183, FC Twente Enschede: 127, Draw: 270 FC Twente Enschede ★★★★☆ 71%
Spread FC Twente Enschede: 100, Heerenveen: -120 Heerenveen +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Twente Enschede 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Twente Enschede at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Twente Enschede to win on the moneyline, Heerenveen +0.25 spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Groningen vs. Heerenveen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Groningen vs Heerenveen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Euroborg Stadium, Groningen

Game Overview

This Eerste Divisie encounter sees Groningen hosting Heerenveen at Euroborg. Groningen seeks redemption after a loss in their season opener, while Heerenveen aim to build on a solid draw. Both teams display similar mid-table form with Groningen having a slightly weaker defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Groningen started the season with a loss but showed offensive resilience, scoring against a strong AZ Alkmaar side. Heerenveen drew their opener and have a slightly better recent form over 5 matches (WLWWL vs LLLWW). Overall, both teams are close in quality but Groningen shows a boost from home advantage.
  • Groningen have won the last two meetings against Heerenveen, showing a recent psychological and tactical edge. Historically, matches tend to be competitive with both teams scoring.
  • No major injury reports affecting squad strength for either side. Both teams appear to have key players available, sustaining usual season starting dynamics.
  • Home advantage at Euroborg is significant for Groningen, with strong local support expected. Weather and pitch conditions are normal for August in the Netherlands, favoring technical play.
  • Groningen is motivated to recover from their opening defeat and secure a positive home result. Heerenveen also strives to maintain unbeaten momentum and accumulate points early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 117 (Groningen) / 220 (Heerenveen) / 240 (Draw) Groningen ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -0.25 Groningen (-112), +25 Heerenveen (-108) Groningen -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-108), Under 2.5 (-112) Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Groningen 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Groningen at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Groningen to win on the moneyline, -0.25 spread for Groningen, and over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Heerenveen vs. FC Volendam Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs FC Volendam – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

Heerenveen host FC Volendam in the Eredivisie season opener, with both teams eager to secure a positive start at the Abe Lenstra Stadion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have shown relative stability recently with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. FC Volendam showed scoring ability but struggled last season with inconsistent results.
  • Historical data favors Heerenveen at home against Volendam, with a tendency for home wins and both teams scoring.
  • No major injury reports indicate key players missing on either side, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
  • Playing at home confers advantage on Heerenveen, with supportive fan presence and familiar pitch conditions. Season opener motivation is high for both.
  • Heerenveen’s aim to start strong at home combined with Volendam’s need to prove competitiveness in the top flight add intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen -174, Draw 315, FC Volendam 435 Heerenveen ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Heerenveen -1 -102, FC Volendam +1 -118 Heerenveen -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 Under 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Heerenveen to win the match with both teams scoring and under 3 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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AZ Alkmaar vs. Heerenveen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-22
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands

Game Overview

This match is part of the Eredivisie Conference League Play-offs, a semi-final contest between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen. AZ Alkmaar is favored due to their recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar has shown strong recent form, winning against Groningen and Twente, and drawing against Almere City. Heerenveen has mixed results, winning against Feyenoord and losing to GAE and RKC.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have seen both teams alternate wins, but AZ Alkmaar generally holds an advantage in terms of overall performance.
  • No specific injury reports have been highlighted for either team in the available data.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be mild with temperatures around 55°F, which should not significantly impact the game.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for a spot in the Conference League.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: -208, Heerenveen: 480, Draw: 385 AZ Alkmaar ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread AZ Alkmaar: -1.25 -101, Heerenveen: 1.25 -119 AZ Alkmaar covers ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -114, Under 3: -106 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar is expected to win due to their stronger recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar


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Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Feyenoord – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 May 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, Netherlands

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Heerenveen and Feyenoord is crucial for both teams in the Dutch Eredivisie. Heerenveen, currently ranked 9th, seeks to improve their standings, while Feyenoord, in 3rd place, aims to consolidate their position. The match promises to be competitive given Feyenoord's strong away record and Heerenveen's recent home form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen has shown strong form at home, unbeaten in all of their last 7 home matches, while Feyenoord has been formidable on the road, winning 56% of their away matches.
  • Historically, Heerenveen struggles against Feyenoord, having lost 83% of their last 6 encounters.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match.
  • The match's outcome might be influenced by weather conditions, but no specific details are available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Heerenveen seeking to improve their standings and Feyenoord looking to maintain their top-four position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Feyenoord: 109, Heerenveen: 189, Draw: 290 Feyenoord ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Feyenoord: -0.25 -115, Heerenveen: 25 -105 Feyenoord ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -103, Under: 3.25 -117 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Feyenoord 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord is likely to win due to their strong away record and historical dominance over Heerenveen.

Predicted Score: Heerenveen 1, Feyenoord 2


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