Match Analysis: Hayisaer Maheshate vs Gauge Young – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 9:40 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night, Shanghai, China
Game Overview
The lightweight MMA bout between Hayisaer Maheshate and Gauge Young is set for August 23, 2025, at UFC Fight Night in Shanghai. Both fighters come with solid records and represent contrasting styles and regional backgrounds. Maheshate fights out of Kazakhstan with a 10-4 record, boasting a balanced mix of KO power and decision wins. Young, with a 9-3 record, is motivated to prove himself on an international stage after adjusting his mindset positively about fighting overseas.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maheshate’s team, Saq Pro Team, has a solid reputation for well-rounded training and techniques. Young has shown adaptability and resilience, preparing extensively for fighting internationally with six weeks lead time.
- This matchup appears to be their first encounter, with no recorded previous direct fights between Maheshate and Young.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this matchup.
- Young is facing the challenge of travel and time zone adaptation, which he acknowledges but approaches with a positive mindset. The fight's location in Shanghai slightly favors Maheshate given regional proximity and less travel fatigue.
- Young expressed excitement and motivation for the fight despite initial reservations about travel. Maheshate, fighting closer to home, has the advantage of relative familiarity and crowd support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gauge Young: -110, Hayisaer Maheshate: -110 | Hayisaer Maheshate | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Hayisaer Maheshate -1.5: -110, Gauge Young +1.5: -110 | Hayisaer Maheshate -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -165, Under 2.5: 135 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hayisaer Maheshate -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
This fight is expected to be closely contested with Maheshate’s experience and stable fighting conditions giving him a slight edge. However, Young’s adaptability and aggressive mindset could leverage an upset if he effectively manages travel fatigue and time zone challenges.
Predicted Score: Maheshate wins by decision in 3 rounds