Match Analysis: Harlem Eubank vs Josh Wagner – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 21, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Brighton Centre, Brighton, United Kingdom
Game Overview
Welterweight contender Harlem Eubank (31, GB) returns to action in a homecoming fight at Brighton Centre following his loss to Jack Catterall in summer 2025. He faces Canadian Josh Wagner (32, nicknamed 'The Boss') in a 10-round welterweight bout. Eubank carries a record of 21-1 with 9 KOs, while Wagner brings a 19-1 record with 10 KOs. This matchup represents a crucial opportunity for Eubank to rebuild his resume and position himself for another world title shot after his recent setback.
Key Factors to Consider
- Eubank enters with superior overall record (21-1 vs 19-1) and has demonstrated consistent performance with a 43% knockout ratio. Wagner shows higher knockout efficiency at 53%, suggesting greater finishing power. Wagner recently secured a first-round knockout victory over Colombian opponent Herrera, demonstrating current form. Eubank's sole career loss came to highly-regarded Jack Catterall, indicating his competitive level remains elite.
- No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This represents a fresh matchup with no direct comparative data. Wagner holds a 3-inch height advantage (5'10¾" vs 5'8") and possesses a 1-year age advantage, though these physical differentials are not uncommon in welterweight division matchups.
- No injury reports or physical limitations are mentioned in available information for either fighter. Both appear fit and ready for competition.
- Eubank fights in his home country of the United Kingdom, providing significant home-ring advantage and supporter motivation. The fight will be broadcast on Channel 5 in the UK and Fight Sports Max internationally. This high-profile bout receives substantial media coverage, elevating stakes and pressure for both competitors.
- Eubank is highly motivated following his first career loss to Catterall, seeking to prove he remains title-contention worthy and deserving of another world title opportunity. Wagner aims to secure a signature victory over a ranked contender to elevate his own profile. Both fighters are at career inflection points where this bout carries significant implications.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eubank -370 | Wagner +275 | Harlem Eubank Win | ★★★★☆ 79% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Harlem Eubank -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Harlem Eubank at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Harlem Eubank is favored to emerge victorious, with community predictions showing 83.3% backing Eubank overall. The moneyline odds of -370 for Eubank reflect strong bookmaker confidence in his victory. His superior record, homecoming advantage, and motivation following recent loss position him as the likely winner. However, Wagner's higher knockout percentage and current winning momentum present legitimate upset potential.
Predicted Score: Harlem Eubank by Decision (Likely 96-94, 97-93, or 98-92 scorecard). Alternative outcome: Harlem Eubank by KO/TKO in rounds 7-9. Community polling suggests 66.67% believe Eubank wins by KO, with remaining 16.67% split between Eubank Decision and Wagner Decision. Most probable: Eubank prevails in competitive decision after 10 rounds, leveraging experience and home advantage to overcome Wagner's power advantage.