Match Analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-08
• Time: 6:05 PM UTC
• Location: Neutral ground, Sofia

Game Overview

The upcoming EuroLeague clash between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Tel Aviv in Sofia features a high-stakes Israeli derby. Hapoel has surprised so far with strong early-season form, including wins against Barcelona and Anadolu Efes, while Maccabi enter on a two-game losing streak aiming to stabilize their campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hapoel Tel Aviv has started the season strongly, beating top teams and showing high defensive intensity. Maccabi Tel Aviv has struggled with form, failing to win their first two matches and showing inconsistency on offense.
• Historically, Maccabi dominates with 48 wins to Hapoel's 17 in 65 meetings, and averages 83.97 points per game compared to Hapoel's 77.49. However, the most recent encounter was a Hapoel 76-70 victory at home.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team leading into this game, suggesting both sides will be at near full strength.
• The game is played on neutral ground in Sofia, reducing any home-court advantage impact and potentially balancing the psychological edge.
• Hapoel Tel Aviv is highly motivated to prove their capability after a strong start, while Maccabi Tel Aviv is under pressure to end their early losing streak and reclaim dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hapoel Tel Aviv: -340, Maccabi Tel Aviv: +270	Hapoel Tel Aviv	★★★★☆ 76%
Spread	Hapoel Tel Aviv -7.5: -112, Maccabi Tel Aviv +7.5: -108	Hapoel Tel Aviv -7.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 175: -112, Under 175: -108	Under 175	★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hapoel Tel Aviv -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 175 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 175 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win, confident they will maintain momentum against a struggling rival. Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv -7.5, leveraging their strong defense and recent wins. Over/Under: Under 175 points, reflecting both teams' recent defensive emphasis and historically moderate scoring averages in their matchups.

Predicted Score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 81 – 72 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs Hapoel Tel Aviv – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: Sportski Centar Moraca

Game Overview

EuroLeague Round 2 pits Turkish powerhouse Anadolu Efes against Israeli side Hapoel Tel Aviv. Efes are a regular contender, while Hapoel have limited elite European experience. The game is being played at a neutral venue with a smaller crowd, potentially impacting home-court dynamics.

Key Factors to Consider

• Efes, despite a couple of recent losses, have generally been strong against non-elite EuroLeague teams. Hapoel are improving but lack consistency at this level.
• Limited recent H2H data available, but Efes typically handles less-established EuroLeague sides.
• No significant injury news reported for either side; assume both at full strength.
• The match is played at a neutral, relatively small venue—this may affect both teams' comfort levels.
• Efes need a strong start to avoid early pressure; Hapoel are underdogs but will fight for credibility.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anadolu Efes -245, Hapoel Tel Aviv +194 (as per FanDuel)[4]	Anadolu Efes moneyline	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Anadolu Efes -5.5 (-110), Hapoel Tel Aviv +5.5 (-110) (as per FanDuel)[4]	Hapoel Tel Aviv +5.5	★★★☆☆ 59%
Over/under	No live total available in American odds from search—market consensus ~167.5 (European lines)[2]	Under 167.5 (estimated)	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anadolu Efes are favored on paper and should control this matchup, but Hapoel's willingness to compete may make it closer than expected.

Predicted Score: Anadolu Efes 84 – Hapoel Tel Aviv 78

Match Analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs FC Barcelona Bàsquet – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-30
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Sofia

Game Overview

Season opener of Euroleague stage between Hapoel Tel Aviv and FC Barcelona Bàsquet in Arena Sofia, featuring a clash of a motivated home side versus an historically stronger but away team, with tight live odds reflecting a very close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hapoel Tel Aviv has shown strong recent form with 8 wins and 2 losses in their last 10 games; FC Barcelona holds a respectable 6 wins and 4 losses. Barcelona tends to dominate in European competitions overall but may face challenges from Hapoel's home advantage.
• Recent meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv with a 64.9% win probability estimated in latest stats; head-to-head scorelines often close, indicating a competitive matchup without clear dominance.
• No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players, suggesting both teams will field near full strength squads.
• Arena Sofia acts as a neutral venue, lessening the traditional home court advantage for Hapoel Tel Aviv; travel and scheduling are normal without notable external disruptions.
• As the first match of the Euroleague stage, both teams are highly motivated to start strongly, with Hapoel driven by the prospect of making a statement at home and Barcelona to maintain continental prestige.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hapoel Tel Aviv -125, FC Barcelona Bàsquet +105	Hapoel Tel Aviv	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Hapoel Tel Aviv -1.5 -110, FC Barcelona Bàsquet +1.5 -110	Hapoel Tel Aviv -1.5	★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under	Over 170.5 -110, Under 170.5 -110	Under 170.5	★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hapoel Tel Aviv 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 170.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 170.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Hapoel Tel Aviv win; Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv -1.5; Over/Under: Under 170.5

Predicted Score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 86 – 82 FC Barcelona Bàsquet