Match Analysis: Edgar Berlanga vs Hamzah Sheeraz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Corona, Queens, New York City
Game Overview
Edgar Berlanga faces Hamzah Sheeraz in a high-stakes super middleweight bout at Louis Armstrong Stadium. Berlanga, with a record of 23-1 (18 KOs), recently rebounded from his only loss to Canelo Alvarez with a first-round knockout. Sheeraz remains undefeated at 21-0-1 (17 KOs) and is coming off a competitive split draw against WBC middleweight champion Carlos Adames. Both fighters employ disciplined guards and powerful right hands, setting the stage for an intense and tactical match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Berlanga has been less active recently, fighting on average every 7 months and 13 days with a tendency for longer fights (average 8.2 rounds per fight in last 5). Sheeraz fights more frequently, averaging a fight every 4 months and 17 days with shorter bouts averaging 5.6 rounds, showing consistent activity and sharpness.
- This bout is their first meeting, so no direct head-to-head data is available. However, Berlanga comes off a loss to an elite fighter (Canelo Alvarez), while Sheeraz holds an undefeated record including a strong performance against a world champion.
- No reported injuries or concerns affecting either fighter have been disclosed ahead of this match.
- The fight takes place in New York City, Berlanga's hometown, which could offer him home crowd support. The atmosphere is expected to be intense on the DAZN PPV platform, adding pressure particularly on Sheeraz, who is fighting in the American's backyard.
- Sheeraz is motivated to maintain his undefeated record and rebound strongly after a controversial draw in a world title fight. Berlanga aims to solidify his status as a top super middleweight after a defining loss and comeback KO.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Edgar Berlanga: 115, Hamzah Sheeraz: -145 | Hamzah Sheeraz to win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Edgar Berlanga: +1.5, Hamzah Sheeraz: -1.5 | Hamzah Sheeraz -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over_10.5: -165, under_10.5: 135 | Under 10.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hamzah Sheeraz -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 10.5 46% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Berlanga's home advantage and power, Sheeraz's activity, resilience, and recent performances at world level give him a slight edge. Expect a tactical, closely contested fight with Sheeraz likely to outpoint Berlanga over the 12-round distance.
Predicted Score: Hamzah Sheeraz wins by decision after 12 rounds