Match Analysis: Holy Cross Crusaders vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence
Game Overview
Holy Cross Crusaders (0-3) host the Hampton Pirates (2-2) in a Patriot Conference matchup. Holy Cross enters winless with a -24.3 point differential, while Hampton seeks to capitalize on their superior efficiency metrics and recent day-game success.
Key Factors to Consider
- Holy Cross is 0-3 to start the season with significant struggles: ranked outside the top-300 nationally in both offensive and defensive efficiency, averaging 42.6% from the field while allowing 45.8%. Hampton enters 2-2 with superior offensive (45.6% FG%) and defensive metrics, having won 5 of their last 6 day games. Holy Cross has lost seven consecutive games overall and specifically struggles in day games against non-conference opponents, losing the first half in all seven recent day matchups.
- No recent head-to-head data provided in available sources. This appears to be a first-time or infrequent matchup between these programs.
- No injury information available in provided sources.
- Holy Cross has a significant home-court disadvantage given their winless record and momentum crisis. Hampton's proven success in day games (5-1) is a critical advantage, with this contest occurring in the afternoon window. Holy Cross ranks tied for 11th in the Patriot Conference despite their 0-3 record.
- Hampton has motivation to extend their day-game winning streak and build momentum in conference play. Holy Cross desperately seeks their first win, but faces a team that thrives in this exact game environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hampton -220 | Holy Cross +180 | Hampton Pirates | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Hampton -4.5 -112 | Holy Cross +4.5 -108 | Hampton Pirates -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hampton Pirates 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Hampton Pirates at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hampton Pirates will defeat Holy Cross Crusaders on the road. The combination of Holy Cross's systematic dysfunction across all metrics, their specific vulnerability in day games, Hampton's proven excellence in afternoon matchups, and superior team efficiency create a strong case for a comfortable Hampton victory.
Predicted Score: Hampton 77, Holy Cross 70