Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-07
• Time: 11:38 PM UTC
• Location: Hamilton Tiger-Cats' home stadium

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and BC Lions face off with Hamilton as slight favorites at home. These teams have engaged in high-scoring contests recently, with Hamilton currently on a strong winning streak and holding a clear advantage against the spread in recent H2H matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton Tiger-Cats have won five straight games and lead the league in points per game (32.1). BC Lions have shown resilience but have struggled to cover the spread against Hamilton recently.
• Hamilton has an 8-2 ATS record against the Lions in their last 10 matchups since 2018. Their recent meetings have been high-scoring, with totals over 54.5 points used previously and scoring in the mid-to-high 30s per team.
• No significant injuries reported for key players on either side, though James Butler of BC Lions is highly motivated facing his former team, which may impact his performance positively.
• The game takes place at Hamilton's home venue, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other conditions are not reported to impact gameplay significantly.
• Hamilton is motivated to maintain their winning streak and assert dominance at home. BC Lions, with players like Butler facing former teams, have motivation but are underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -194, BC Lions +160	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5 (-115), BC Lions +3.5 (-105)	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 56.5 -105, Under 56.5 -115	Over 56.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 56.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win the moneyline, cover the spread, and the game to go over the total points set at 56.5

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 31, BC Lions 27

Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats, currently on a five-game winning streak and boasting a strong offense led by Bo Levi Mitchell, face the struggling Edmonton Elks at home. Hamilton demonstrates superior recent form and offensive firepower, while Edmonton has struggled both straight up and against the spread this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS with a potent offense averaging over 35 points per game in their winning streak. Edmonton is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS and has been inconsistent offensively and defensively, with recent struggles evident in their 1-2 ATS record at home.
• This is the first 2025 season meeting between these teams; recent trends favor Hamilton's consistent road success with a 3-1 ATS record away.
• No major injury reports found, but Edmonton faces quarterback uncertainty between Cody Fajardo and Tre Ford, potentially impacting offensive rhythm.
• Edmonton's offensive line has been vulnerable, giving up 8 sacks last game, while Hamilton's pass rush is relatively mild with 10 sacks on the season, potentially giving Hamilton's offense an edge.
• Hamilton is heavily motivated to maintain their winning streak and continue dominating, while Edmonton needs a win to halt their skid, though the internal quarterback situation may dampen confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Edmonton 164, Hamilton -200	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Edmonton +3.5 -105, Hamilton -3.5 -115	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 54.5 -105, Under 54.5 -115	Over 54.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 54.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the game to go over 54.5 points.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 28 – Edmonton Elks 22

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver

Game Overview

East Division leaders Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-2, riding a four-game win streak) visit BC Lions (3-4) for a Week 8 CFL clash. Hamilton boasts the league’s top-scoring offense, while BC’s defense has allowed the fewest passing yards per game, though recent results suggest vulnerability. The over/under is set at 55.5 points, indicating expectations for a high-scoring affair.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton’s offense is on fire, averaging 35 points per game during their four-game winning streak, led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who tops the CFL in passing yards. BC’s defense is statistically strong against the pass but was recently exposed by Saskatchewan, allowing 395 yards and 3 TDs through the air. Hamilton’s defense is opportunistic and balanced, complementing their explosive offense[2].
• Hamilton has dominated the spread in recent meetings, covering in 8 of the last 10 games against BC. The last three meetings have all gone over the total, indicating a trend toward high-scoring contests between these teams[3].
• No major injury updates provided in available sources.
• The game will be played at BC Place, offering BC a home-field advantage. No extreme weather or venue disruptions expected.
• Hamilton is the East Division leader and riding momentum, while BC is looking to stabilize their season after a shaky start. Both teams have playoff implications at stake, but Hamilton’s hot streak and recent dominance in this matchup are significant.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	BC Lions -144 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +120	Hamilton Tiger-Cats (moneyline)	Not available
Spread	BC Lions -2.5 -118 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5 -104	Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5	Not available
Over/under	Over 55.5 -108 | Under 55.5 -112	Over 55.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats 14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a high-scoring, competitive game. While home-field and a stout pass defense give BC a puncher’s chance, Hamilton’s recent form, offensive firepower, and historical success against the spread in this matchup make them the sharper value play. The over is also strongly in play given the offensive trends of both teams and recent head-to-head totals.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 30, BC Lions 27

Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ivor Wynne Stadium (Hamilton)

Game Overview

This CFL matchup features the Hamilton Tiger-Cats hosting the Ottawa Redblacks. Hamilton enters with strong recent form and offensive efficiency, while Ottawa struggles defensively and offensively under pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton is 3-2 SU with a top-tier offense ranked 1st in scoring and 2nd in passing, demonstrating sustained offensive success. Ottawa is 1-4 SU with poor yards allowed per play, ranking near the bottom defensively, and offensive struggles after initial drives.
• Hamilton won the recent meeting 23-20 and controlled the game's tempo with effective ball movement. Hamilton has demonstrated superiority in this matchup and shares the Eastern Conference lead.
• No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly impact key offensive or defensive positions.
• The game is in Hamilton’s home stadium, which historically boosts their performance. Weather is not expected to hamper offensive production significantly.
• Hamilton is highly motivated to consolidate Eastern Conference leadership. Ottawa is seeking to halt a losing streak but faces psychological and tactical challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -125, Ottawa Redblacks: +104	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 -114, Ottawa Redblacks: +1.5 -106	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over: 54.5 -110, Under: 54.5 -110	Under 54.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ottawa Redblacks 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 54.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 54.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline winner with a clean victory covering the -1.5 spread; total points to stay under 54.5.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 27 – Ottawa Redblacks 20

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ivor Wynne Stadium

Game Overview

This CFL Week 6 matchup between the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Ottawa Redblacks pits two teams with contrasting recent performances. Hamilton, led by Bo Levi Mitchell, has shown potent offense, while Ottawa struggles with consistency. The head-to-head history is mixed, with each team winning once in the past two seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton is 2-2 and has a strong offense, while Ottawa is 1-3 and struggling defensively.
• The teams split the series last year, with Hamilton winning at home and Ottawa winning on the road.
• No significant injury reports have been noted for this matchup.
• Hamilton's home advantage and fan support could influence the game.
• Both teams are motivated, but Hamilton's recent form suggests higher momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton: -220, Ottawa: 180	Hamilton Tiger-Cats	★★★★☆ 73%
Spread	Hamilton: -5.5 -105, Ottawa: 5.5 -115	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5.5	★★★★☆ 71%
Over/under	over: 55.5 -114, under: 55.5 -106	Over 55.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 55.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats to win, Hamilton to cover the spread, and over total points.

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 32, Ottawa Redblacks 24

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, Ontario

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-0) visit the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-2) at Tim Hortons Field. Montreal enters the game undefeated and favored, having shown strong offensive performances in their wins, while Hamilton has struggled out of the gate seeking their first victory. The Alouettes are expected to remain dominant with a solid defense and efficient offense, whereas Hamilton will need to overcome early season challenges to compete effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal Alouettes boast a perfect start to the season (3-0), with effective offensive output averaging over 30 points per game and a defense that has limited opponents decisively. Hamilton Tiger-Cats, conversely, have started 0-2, struggling to find offensive rhythm and defensive consistency.
• Recent matchups favor Montreal, who have been more consistent in victories against Hamilton in the past season. Montreal’s confidence and momentum add to their advantage in the head-to-head context.
• No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either team have been noted leading into this game, providing both teams near full-strength lineups.
• The game is played at Hamilton's home stadium, which can give the Tiger-Cats some home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be neutral with no extreme conditions forecasted, minimizing external impact on gameplay.
• Montreal is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and assert dominance early in the CFL season, while Hamilton is driven to salvage their season start and gain momentum with their first win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +118, Montreal Alouettes: -142	Montreal Alouettes win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5: -105, Montreal Alouettes -2.5: -115	Montreal Alouettes -2.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -105	Over 50.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Montreal Alouettes -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are predicted to win the match, covering the -2.5 spread with a moderately high confidence, as their strong form and consistent play suggest continued success against a struggling Hamilton team.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 21

Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) travel to face the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1) in a Week 2 CFL matchup. Both teams are looking to set a tone for the season, with Saskatchewan coming off a season-opening win and Hamilton seeking to rebound from a loss. Key positional battles include Saskatchewan's strong ground game against Hamilton's defensive front, and the performance of the Roughriders' defense against Hamilton's offensive line.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan’s offense showed efficiency in their opener with Trevor Harris completing 19/26 passes for 277 yards and 2 TDs, with a strong running game led by Thomas Bertrand-Hudon (57 yards, 1 TD). Hamilton struggled in their opener and faces questions about offensive line protection for Bo Levi Mitchell.
• Recent form and season records favor Saskatchewan, who finished 9-8 last season versus Hamilton’s 7-11. Saskatchewan won their most recent matchup.
• Saskatchewan’s A.J. Ouellette is expected to play after clearing concussion protocol, and veteran Ka’Deem Carey has been added for depth. Both teams report no major new injuries affecting starters.
• Game will be played at Tim Hortons Field, a noted home advantage for Hamilton. No major weather concerns expected.
• Saskatchewan aims to build momentum on the road. Hamilton is motivated to bounce back after a disappointing season start.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +126, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -152	Saskatchewan Roughriders (Away) win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +2.5 -100, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -2.5 -122	Saskatchewan Roughriders cover (-2.5)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115	Under 51.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win and cover the spread, leveraging their stronger defense and more consistent offensive production. The total is expected to stay under the current line due to Saskatchewan’s defensive strength and Hamilton’s offensive line struggles.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 25 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 20

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-07
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a CFL regular season matchup. Calgary enters as a slight underdog on the moneyline, despite a strong recent head-to-head record against Hamilton. Both teams are looking to build early-season momentum, with Calgary holding a historical dominance but recent form showing Hamilton as more competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4, scoring 28.0 points per game and conceding 21.4; while Hamilton won 3 of their last 5 games across all competitions, averaging 20.4 points per match but conceding more at 29.6 points per game. Calgary's recent form is stronger defensively, while Hamilton has shown inconsistency.
• Historically, Calgary leads the all-time series, with 65 wins to Hamilton's 34 (with four postseason games included), out of 99 total meetings. Since 2010, Calgary has won 21 of 25 regular matchups. In the last 5 meetings, Calgary leads 4-1, but in the broader recent 5 across all games, Hamilton has been more competitive (3 wins, but includes non-H2H games).
• No specific injury reports are available at this time for either team.
• The game is early in the season, reducing the impact of playoff or division pressures. Weather is typically mild in June in Calgary, but no extreme conditions are forecast.
• Both teams are motivated to start the season strong. Calgary may have extra motivation to defend their home turf and maintain their historical edge, though Hamilton is seeking revenge for recent head-to-head losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders: 112, Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -134	Calgary Stampeders to win (value play due to home advantage and superior recent H2H record)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 (-102), Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 (-120)	Calgary covers the spread (1.5 point underdog is minor hurdle)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 (-110), Under: 52.5 (-110)	Slight lean to Under given Calgary's recent defensive solidity and Hamilton's offensive inconsistency	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders 27%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win at home, covering the spread if key offensive units perform as usual. The total points are expected to be moderately high, but the under is slightly favored given recent scoring trends.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 27, Hamilton Tiger-Cats 23