Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) travel to face the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1) in a Week 2 CFL matchup. Both teams are looking to set a tone for the season, with Saskatchewan coming off a season-opening win and Hamilton seeking to rebound from a loss. Key positional battles include Saskatchewan's strong ground game against Hamilton's defensive front, and the performance of the Roughriders' defense against Hamilton's offensive line.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan’s offense showed efficiency in their opener with Trevor Harris completing 19/26 passes for 277 yards and 2 TDs, with a strong running game led by Thomas Bertrand-Hudon (57 yards, 1 TD). Hamilton struggled in their opener and faces questions about offensive line protection for Bo Levi Mitchell.
• Recent form and season records favor Saskatchewan, who finished 9-8 last season versus Hamilton’s 7-11. Saskatchewan won their most recent matchup.
• Saskatchewan’s A.J. Ouellette is expected to play after clearing concussion protocol, and veteran Ka’Deem Carey has been added for depth. Both teams report no major new injuries affecting starters.
• Game will be played at Tim Hortons Field, a noted home advantage for Hamilton. No major weather concerns expected.
• Saskatchewan aims to build momentum on the road. Hamilton is motivated to bounce back after a disappointing season start.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +126, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -152	Saskatchewan Roughriders (Away) win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +2.5 -100, Saskatchewan Roughriders: -2.5 -122	Saskatchewan Roughriders cover (-2.5)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 51.5 -105, Under: 51.5 -115	Under 51.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Saskatchewan Roughriders -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders are favored to win and cover the spread, leveraging their stronger defense and more consistent offensive production. The total is expected to stay under the current line due to Saskatchewan’s defensive strength and Hamilton’s offensive line struggles.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 25 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 20

Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-07
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in a CFL regular season matchup. Calgary enters as a slight underdog on the moneyline, despite a strong recent head-to-head record against Hamilton. Both teams are looking to build early-season momentum, with Calgary holding a historical dominance but recent form showing Hamilton as more competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4, scoring 28.0 points per game and conceding 21.4; while Hamilton won 3 of their last 5 games across all competitions, averaging 20.4 points per match but conceding more at 29.6 points per game. Calgary's recent form is stronger defensively, while Hamilton has shown inconsistency.
• Historically, Calgary leads the all-time series, with 65 wins to Hamilton's 34 (with four postseason games included), out of 99 total meetings. Since 2010, Calgary has won 21 of 25 regular matchups. In the last 5 meetings, Calgary leads 4-1, but in the broader recent 5 across all games, Hamilton has been more competitive (3 wins, but includes non-H2H games).
• No specific injury reports are available at this time for either team.
• The game is early in the season, reducing the impact of playoff or division pressures. Weather is typically mild in June in Calgary, but no extreme conditions are forecast.
• Both teams are motivated to start the season strong. Calgary may have extra motivation to defend their home turf and maintain their historical edge, though Hamilton is seeking revenge for recent head-to-head losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders: 112, Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -134	Calgary Stampeders to win (value play due to home advantage and superior recent H2H record)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Calgary Stampeders: 1.5 (-102), Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -1.5 (-120)	Calgary covers the spread (1.5 point underdog is minor hurdle)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 52.5 (-110), Under: 52.5 (-110)	Slight lean to Under given Calgary's recent defensive solidity and Hamilton's offensive inconsistency	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Calgary Stampeders 27%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 52.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Calgary Stampeders at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win at home, covering the spread if key offensive units perform as usual. The total points are expected to be moderately high, but the under is slightly favored given recent scoring trends.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 27, Hamilton Tiger-Cats 23