Match Analysis: Nora Cornolle vs Hailey Cowan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
Game Overview
Nora Cornolle and Hailey Cowan are set to face off in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC 315. Cornolle, with a record of 8-2 and 2-1 in the UFC, is looking to rebound from a loss to Jacqueline Cavalcanti. Cowan, 7-3 with a 0-1 UFC record, returns after a nearly two-year layoff due to injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cornolle has shown strength in both striking and grappling, though her wins can be rough. Cowan, though physically gifted, has struggled with translating her athleticism into MMA success.
- There is no head-to-head data available for this matchup.
- Cowan has been dealing with a range of injuries, including a broken shin, which has kept her sidelined for almost two years.
- The fight takes place in Montreal, potentially affecting crowd support for both fighters, though Cornolle may receive more due to her European background and recent UFC experience.
- Both fighters are highly motivated; Cornolle seeks to regain momentum, while Cowan aims to prove herself after a long layoff.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cornolle: -180, Cowan: 155 | Cornolle | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over_under | Over: 2.5 -200, Under: 2.5 +160 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nora Cornolle 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nora Cornolle at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Cornolle's recent UFC experience and Cowan's layoff, Cornolle is likely to win, potentially via stoppage.
Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA