Match Analysis: Groningen vs Ajax – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-14
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen, Netherlands

Game Overview

Ajax, currently top of the Eredivisie with 23 wins in 29 games, enters the match on the cusp of clinching the title after a turbulent period. FC Groningen, sitting 9th with an 8-8-13 record, has struggled for consistency but recently secured a couple of high-scoring wins mixed with heavy defeats.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ajax has been dominant this season (23-4-2, 73 PTS), led by attacking players such as Weghorst (8 goals in 19 matches) and Klaassen (8 goals in 26 matches). Groningen has had an up-and-down season with recent heavy losses (e.g., 3-0 vs AZ) but also big wins (6-1 vs RKC Waalwijk).
• Ajax has historically dominated this fixture, especially in recent years, but the latest head-to-head for this season is not detailed in the available data.
• Groningen will be without Maxim Mariani and Fofana Turay, potentially weakening their squad depth.
• No major external factors reported. Ajax is highly motivated as a win could confirm their league title, while Groningen are clear underdogs hoping to finish the season on a high.
• Ajax is highly motivated to secure the league title, while Groningen is playing for pride and possibly a top-half finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ajax: -165, Groningen: 350, Draw: 315	Ajax win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Ajax: -0.75 -119, Groningen: 75 -101	Ajax to cover the spread (-0.75)	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over: 3 106, Under: 3 -126	Over 3 Goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ajax -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax is the clear favorite, coming in with superior form, squad quality, and motivation. Groningen's recent defensive frailty and absenteeism further strengthen Ajax's chances, though the home side occasionally shows attacking spark.

Predicted Score: Groningen 1 – 3 Ajax

Match Analysis: Groningen vs RKC Waalwijk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 3, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen, Netherlands

Game Overview

This match is a part of the Netherlands Eredivisie, with FC Groningen hosting RKC Waalwijk. Groningen currently ranks 9th in the league, while RKC Waalwijk holds the 17th position.

Key Factors to Consider

• Groningen has a stronger record overall this season with more wins and points compared to RKC Waalwijk. Groningen's recent form includes a win over Heracles and losses to PSV and Utrecht.
• Historical data on previous matches between the teams shows Groningen generally performs better. However, specific recent head-to-head statistics are not detailed here.
• Groningen will miss players due to injuries, including Maxim Mariani, Stije Resink, and Fofana, which might impact their performance.
• The home advantage at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium could influence the outcome in favor of Groningen.
• Both teams have different motivations; Groningen seeks to secure a higher position in the league, while RKC Waalwijk aims to climb out of relegation troubles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Groningen -130, RKC Waalwijk 340, Draw 260	Groningen	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Groningen -0.75 100, RKC Waalwijk +75 -120	Groningen to cover -0.75	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -118, Under 2.5 -102	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Groningen 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Groningen at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Groningen is likely to win this match due to their home advantage and stronger season performance.

Predicted Score: Groningen 2, RKC Waalwijk 0

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Parma vs. Juventus Prediction	Juventus -0.75	100	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Botafogo Prediction	Estudiantes La Plata -0.25	-118	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Groningen vs. Heracles Almelo Prediction	Over 2.25	-118	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +583

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $136.52

Match Analysis: Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven, currently second in the Eredivisie, travels to Groningen, who are eighth. PSV Eindhoven has a strong record against Groningen with significant wins in their head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

• PSV Eindhoven has been performing well in the league, while Groningen has shown inconsistent form. PSV Eindhoven's recent win over Groningen with a score of 5-0 highlights their dominance.
• PSV Eindhoven has a strong head-to-head record against Groningen, with 9 matches ending in a 0-1 scoreline in favor of PSV. Over the last 59 meetings, PSV Eindhoven has won 39 times.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• The match being at Groningen's home stadium might give them some advantage, but PSV's overall strength and past performance are significant factors.
• PSV Eindhoven is highly motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Groningen seeks to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Groningen: 600, PSV Eindhoven: -260, Draw: 380	PSV Eindhoven	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Groningen: 1.25 -102, PSV Eindhoven: -1.25 -118	PSV Eindhoven	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 3 -112, Under: 3 -108	Over 3	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven is likely to win based on their past performances and current form.

Predicted Score: PSV Eindhoven 3, Groningen 1

Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs Groningen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-02
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

Feyenoord, currently ranked 4th in the Eredivisie, face off against 13th-placed Groningen. Feyenoord has historically dominated this matchup, especially at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Feyenoord has shown stronger form overall, especially in home games, maintaining a significant advantage over Groningen in past matchups.
• Historically, Feyenoord has a significant edge, winning 31 out of 60 recent matches, with Groningen winning 13. The most common scoreline at Feyenoord's home is 1-0 in their favor.
• Injury information is not specified, but typically, Feyenoord's home advantage gives them an edge.
• The match at Feyenoord's home stadium could favor Feyenoord with a probable lively atmosphere supporting their strong home record.
• Feyenoord's higher standings and historical dominance might motivate them to secure a win against Groningen, who are looking to upset the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Feyenoord: -260, Groningen: 650, Draw: 360	Feyenoord to win	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Feyenoord -1.25 -115, Groningen 1.25 -105	Feyenoord to cover -1.25	★★★★☆ 75%
Over_under	Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112	Over 2.75	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord is favored to win this match, given their strong historical performance at home.

Predicted Score: Feyenoord 2:0 Groningen

Match Analysis: Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-16
• Time: 1:30 PM UTC
• Location: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Game Overview

Groningen hosts Fortuna Sittard in an Eredivisie match. Groningen is currently 10th in the standings with 28 points, while Fortuna Sittard is 8th with 32 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Groningen has shown mixed form recently, with a record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses. Fortuna Sittard has 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. Groningen tends to score more goals in the first half.
• In their last 21 meetings, Groningen won 11 times, Fortuna Sittard won 6 times, and there were 4 draws. Groningen has a strong home record against Fortuna Sittard.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the match.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in the Eredivisie. Groningen seeks to climb higher, while Fortuna Sittard aims to maintain its position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Groningen: -105, Fortuna Sittard: 295, Draw: 230	Groningen	★★★☆☆ 51%
Spread	Groningen: -0.5 -102, Fortuna Sittard: 50 -118	Groningen -0.5	★★★☆☆ 51%
Over_under	Over 2.25: -122, Under 2.25: 102	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

Groningen is likely to win due to their strong home record against Fortuna Sittard.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Groningen

Match Analysis: Groningen vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen, Netherlands

Game Overview

Groningen, unbeaten in their last six home matches, faces FC Twente Enschede, who have been scoring more than 1.5 goals in six consecutive games. The match promises to be intense, with Groningen relying on defensive tactics and Twente favoring an attacking strategy.

Key Factors to Consider

• Groningen has shown resilience at home, maintaining a clean sheet in five of their last six home matches. However, their attacking strength is limited, averaging only 0.9 goals per match. Twente, on the other hand, has impressive attacking potential, averaging 1.9 goals per game, but their defense can be vulnerable.
• In their head-to-head encounters, Twente has dominated with 20 wins out of 35 matches, while Groningen has won just five. The average total goals in these matches is 3.2.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• No significant external factors are noted for this match.
• Groningen seeks to strengthen their position in the standings and avenge their last defeat to Twente. Twente aims to continue their winning streak and maintain their form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	FC Twente Enschede: -115, Groningen: 280, Draw: 230	FC Twente Enschede	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	FC Twente Enschede: -0.5 100, Groningen: 0.5 -120	FC Twente Enschede -0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Given the attacking prowess of Twente and Groningen's defensive resilience, both teams are likely to score.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of FC Twente Enschede