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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Atalanta BC -150 200%
Sao Paulo vs. Grêmio Prediction Sao Paulo -120 176%
SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction SC Freiburg 135 67%

Combined Odds: +618 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $143.61

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Grêmio vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, BRA

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Grêmio and Red Bull Bragantino-SP is a Brazilian Campeonato Série A fixture taking place at Grêmio's home ground in Porto Alegre. Grêmio, currently 9th in the league, face Bragantino, placed 15th. Both teams have scored and conceded a similar number of goals recently, with Grêmio showing slightly better form at home. This fixture is critical as both sides look to climb the table, with Grêmio aiming to leverage home advantage and Bragantino seeking an upset on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio holds a mid-table position with 2 goals scored and 3 conceded in recent matches, maintaining moderate attacking and defensive balance. Bragantino has struggled more, positioned lower in the table with a comparatively weaker defense and offense. Grêmio's recent clean sheets are zero but they have slightly more shots on goal (8 vs. 7) indicating a marginally better attacking threat.
  • Recent head-to-head data points to a balanced contest historically, though specific recent encounters show no distinct dominance. Both teams have scored in past meetings but outcomes have been mixed, making this a competitive matchup.
  • No detailed injury data is available from current sources for this specific match, suggesting no major absences reported for either squad.
  • Playing at home is an important factor favoring Grêmio, given their comfortable familiarity with Arena do Grêmio and supportive home fans. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed normal for Porto Alegre in May with no disruptions expected.
  • Grêmio is motivated to secure points to push towards the top half of the table and possibly qualify for continental tournaments, while Bragantino is fighting to improve their league standing and avoid relegation zone proximity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: 2.1, Grêmio: 1.3, Draw: 2.4 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bragantino-SP: -120, Grêmio: 100 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win narrowly, capitalizing on home advantage and slightly superior team form.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Grêmio vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: [Not Provided]

Game Overview

Grêmio and Santos are evenly matched in their head-to-head history, with both teams winning 15-17 matches out of their last encounters. Grêmio averages around 1.67 goals per game this season, while Santos averages about 1.48. Recent form shows Santos as slightly more variable in results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have similar performance metrics, but Grêmio tends to score more at home.
  • Historically, the matches between Grêmio and Santos are closely contested with a high number of draws and goals.
  • [Not Available]
  • [Not Available]
  • Both teams should be highly motivated as they seek points in the Campeonato.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 120, Santos: 245, Draw: 225 Draw or Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Grêmio: -0.25 -112, Santos: 25 -108 Santos on spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over: 2.25 108, Under: 2.25 -128 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical evenness and recent performances, a draw seems plausible, but Grêmio’s home advantage might slightly tip the scale.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1 – 1 Santos


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Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, BRA

Game Overview

The upcoming Brazilian Serie A match features Vitória hosting Grêmio. Vitória currently sits 16th in the standings with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded, showing moderate offensive output but defensive weaknesses. Grêmio is struggling near the bottom at 19th place with 4 goals scored and 10 conceded, indicating offensive struggles and defensive vulnerability. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently with Vitória earning draws and a narrow win, while Grêmio has struggled to secure points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória has been slightly better at home with a recent win against Fortaleza and draws with Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense. Grêmio has generally struggled offensively and defensively, with few goals and multiple losses. Vitória’s scoring and defense metrics are somewhat superior in recent matches.
  • Historical head-to-head data is limited for this season, but both teams have been close in previous encounters with low scoring matches. Vitória's home advantage at Estadio Manoel Barradas is a notable factor.
  • No specific injury data is recorded in recent sources, but both teams likely have squad challenges given their recent lineups and performance inconsistencies.
  • Playing in Salvador gives Vitória home support and familiarity with conditions. Both clubs face pressure to improve their league standing to avoid relegation battles.
  • Vitória is motivated to capitalize on home advantage to climb the table, while Grêmio needs points desperately to escape from relegation zone, influencing a potentially aggressive but cautious game from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 210, Vitória: 140, Draw: 225 Vitória win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio: 25 -125, Vitória: -0.25 105 Vitória -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 69%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and slightly better recent form. Expect a low scoring, competitive match potentially decided by set pieces or individual moments.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Vitoria 140 69%
Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Moreirense FC 115 64%
VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction VfL Bochum 125 58%

Combined Odds: +1061 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.2

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Grêmio vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 20 April 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio (Assumed, but not explicitly confirmed)

Game Overview

Grêmio and Internacional face off in a highly anticipated Campeonato match. Historically, both teams have similar win rates against each other, with a significant number of draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional has been performing well recently, securing the top spot in the state leagues and a competitive position in Serie A. Grêmio, however, is currently struggling in Serie A but has a strong home advantage.
  • The head-to-head record shows both teams have won 28 matches out of 85, with 29 draws. Recent matches have seen more draws and fewer high-scoring games.
  • No specific injury information was provided for this analysis.
  • Motivation might be a factor given Internacional's stronger recent performances.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, given the historical rivalry and current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 205, Internacional: 150, Draw: 210 Draw or Internacional ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Grêmio: 0 +112, Internacional: 0 -134 Internacional to win by a narrow margin ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering recent form and head-to-head statistics, Internacional is slightly favored but a draw is also a strong possibility due to the nature of their past matches.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Mirassol vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol, BRA

Game Overview

This match between Mirassol and Grêmio in the Brazil Campeonato presents a challenging scenario. Mirassol has struggled recently with losses and draws, while Grêmio, though inconsistent, has shown glimpses of strong performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has shown more consistency in achieving wins lately, but Mirassol is playing at home which can be an advantage. Mirassol's recent form has been unimpressive, whereas Grêmio has had positive results in some of their last matches.
  • Historically, Grêmio has the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, but Mirassol's home advantage could level the field.
  • Mirassol has listed several players as injured, including Luiz Otávio and Zé Vitor. Grêmio also has players sidelined, such as Gabriel Mec and Mayk.
  • The match being played on a weekday evening could affect team performances, but both teams should be well-rested. Weather conditions might be a minimal factor unless extreme.
  • Grêmio's drive to climb the league table could motivate them more compared to Mirassol, who are focused on improving their current standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 200, Mirassol: 150, Draw: 220 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Grêmio: 0 +111, Mirassol: 0 -132 Grêmio Cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 65%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 65% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

I predict Grêmio might edge this one due to their recent form and historical dominance. However, Mirassol's home advantage could lead to a tight contest.

Predicted Score: Mirassol 0 – 1 Grêmio


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Grêmio vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio and Flamengo face off in a Campeonato Brasileiro match, with Grêmio seeking to improve their standings against a strong Flamengo side that has recently shown dominant form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has mixed recent form, while Flamengo has shown strong consistency in performance.
  • Historically, the head-to-head is slightly in favor of Flamengo, but Grêmio has had recent successes.
  • No significant injury reports for either team as of now.
  • Home advantage for Grêmio could play a role, but Flamengo's recent away performances have been solid.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo 125, Grêmio 240, Draw 225 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Flamengo -0.25 -110, Grêmio +25 -110 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo is slightly favored due to their recent form, but Grêmio has potential at home.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Flamengo


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Lazio vs. AS Roma Prediction Over 2.25 -118 ★★★☆☆ 66% (66%)
Grêmio vs. Flamengo Prediction Flamengo Win 125 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Como vs. Torino Prediction Under 2.25 -102 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +723

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $164.64

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Ceará vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Castelão Stadium

Game Overview

Ceará faces Grêmio in the second round of the 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. Both teams are seeking to establish themselves in the early season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará enters the match without prior wins, while Grêmio has one win already, showing a slight edge in performance early in the season.
  • Grêmio has historically held a slight advantage in head-to-head matches against Ceará, winning several recent encounters.
  • No significant injury reports are noted for either team, which could affect the lineup.
  • Home advantage for Ceará at Castelão Stadium might influence the match's dynamics, but Grêmio's recent form could counter this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Ceará aiming to secure their first win and Grêmio seeking to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará 135, Grêmio 215, Draw 230 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 40%
Spread Ceará -0.25 100, Grêmio +25 -120 Ceará -0.25 ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio has a slight edge based on past performances and early-season momentum.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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