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Grêmio vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio's home stadium

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brazil matchup features Grêmio hosting Sport Recife. Grêmio has a marginally stronger recent form at home with slightly better defensive stats, while Sport Recife has shown resilience with a solid recent winning record and a low rate of conceding goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio's recent form shows moderate attacking power with an average of ~1.32 goals scored and a solid defense conceding around 0.68 per match. Sport Recife averages 1.6 goals scored and only about 0.8 conceded in their recent matches, indicating a balanced team performance.
  • Across about 24 to 25 previous encounters, Grêmio has won approximately 7-8 matches while Sport Recife has won around 10. The teams tend to have moderately high scoring games (~2.9 goals per match historically). Recent H2H is fairly balanced with slight edge to Sport Recife in wins.
  • No specific recent injury data available for key players on either side, so full-strength line-ups are assumed.
  • Match played at Grêmio's home ground, giving them home advantage. No unusual external factors impacting match conditions have been reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points in the league; Sport Recife has been on a better recent streak which could boost confidence, while Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to recover points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -115, away: 340, draw: 250 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: -115, Sport Recife +50: -105 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 2.25: 105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win moneyline and cover -0.5 spread with under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Grêmio in a Brasileirão Betano clash with both teams showing mixed form but Fluminense holding home advantage and a higher league standing (6th vs 11th). Historically, Grêmio has more wins in direct encounters but recent results show close competitive matches with a trend of draws lately.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense averages 1.60 goals per match at home, with 76.19% of home games having over 1.5 goals; Grêmio averages 1.44 goals per match away, with 82.35% of away games over 1.5 goals. Overall scoring suggests a moderately attacking game.
  • Across 52 matches, Grêmio leads with 25 wins to Fluminense's 13, while 14 ended in draws. Recent streak shows two consecutive draws, indicating closely matched contests.
  • No specific injury data provided, but assume typical squad availability for both sides given current information.
  • Playing at Maracanã gives Fluminense a strong home support advantage; weather and pitch conditions are standard for Rio in August.
  • Fluminense, being higher in the table, has motivation to secure points at home to maintain or improve league standing, whereas Grêmio may be motivated to upset higher-ranked opponents and climb from 11th

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: -125, Draw: 250, Grêmio: 370 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fluminense -0.5: -120, Grêmio +50: 100 Fluminense -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline and cover the -0.5 spread; expect a moderately high scoring game over 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 2, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Mirassol vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Mirassol Win 100 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Fluminense Win -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Bahia Win 145 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +782

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $176.4

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Grêmio vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-29
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Fortaleza in a Campeonato Brasileiro match where both teams have had mixed recent performances, but Grêmio has a historical edge at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio shows moderate home strength with 40% wins and 40% draws in recent matches; Fortaleza struggles away with only 20% wins, 80% combined draws/losses recently. Both teams average about 1.4 goals per game in 2025.
  • In 16 recent encounters, Grêmio won 6, Fortaleza 4, and 6 drawn matches. Average goals per match stand at around 2.0. Grêmio tends to have a slight advantage at home historically.
  • No critical injury info available, presumed both teams have near full strength.
  • Home advantage at Arena do Grêmio benefits the host; no unusual external conditions reported.
  • Grêmio currently ranks better (14th) than Fortaleza (19th), likely increasing home side's motivation to secure points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio 120, Fortaleza 235, Draw 230 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Grêmio -0.25 -110, Fortaleza +25 -110 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Grêmio to win the match outright, with a close contest expected resulting in a moderately scored game.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Palmeiras vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosts Grêmio in a Brazilian Campeonato match where Palmeiras demonstrates recent strong home form and historical dominance in head-to-head matchups, while Grêmio struggles with away performance and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 6 matches, scoring consistently with an average of 1.67 goals per game. Grêmio is in weaker form with only 1 win in their last 6 matches and lower scoring at 1.0 goal per game.
  • Palmeiras leads in direct encounters with 20 wins to Grêmio's 11 out of 46 matches, with 15 draws. Historically, matches average 2.35 goals with Palmeiras winning the majority at home.
  • No significant injury information is available from the data, so both teams likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Allianz Parque home grounds gives Palmeiras a strong advantage. No other external factors such as weather or travel appear to strongly influence the match.
  • Palmeiras has strong motivation to capitalize on home advantage to improve standings, while Grêmio is seeking to address poor recent form and defensive issues including conceding the most penalties this season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -280, Draw 390, Grêmio 800 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25 (-118), Grêmio +1.25 (-102) Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Vasco da Gama vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

This matchup between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio presents interesting dynamics given their head-to-head history and recent form. Vasco da Gama has home advantage, while Grêmio's stronger overall record in past meetings may influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio tends to perform better historically against Vasco da Gama, with more wins and a slightly higher average score in their matches. However, Vasco da Gama has shown competitive form in recent outings.
  • Grêmio has won 16 times, Vasco da Gama 12, with 8 draws. The home team's recent form might not fully reflect their historical disadvantage.
  • Currently, there is no significant injury news for either team that would drastically impact the match.
  • The match is part of the Serie A, which may see both teams motivated to secure points for different reasons.
  • Both teams will be motivated to win, but Grêmio might have an edge due to their historical dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: 105, Grêmio: 290, Draw: 225 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Vasco da Gama: -0.5 108, Grêmio: 50 -128 Vasco da Gama -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 105 Over 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and historical data, Vasco da Gama might have an advantage playing at home, but Grêmio's historical performance is significant. The match could see a competitive outcome with a potential for over 2 goals, given the teams' scoring averages.

Predicted Score: Vasco da Gama 2, Grêmio 1


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Cruzeiro vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Grêmio in a highly anticipated Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A matchup, with Cruzeiro favored due to stronger recent form and home advantage. Both teams are competitive but Cruzeiro has a slight edge in motivation and squad strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro shows superior recent form and consistency in the league, positioned well in the standings; Grêmio has struggled more and faces away disadvantages.
  • Historically, Cruzeiro holds an advantage over Grêmio with a higher win percentage, particularly when playing at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for Cruzeiro; Grêmio could be missing some key players, reducing their competitiveness.
  • Cruzeiro benefits from home crowd support and familiar pitch conditions; travel fatigue may affect Grêmio adversely.
  • Cruzeiro is motivated to consolidate their league position, while Grêmio looks to salvage points but with less urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: -150, Grêmio: 460, Draw: 265 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Cruzeiro -0.75: -112, Grêmio +75: -108 Cruzeiro -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: 102, Under 2.25: -122 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro to win decisively with under 2.5 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 1-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – July 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cruzeiro vs. Grêmio Prediction Cruzeiro Win -150 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
St. Louis City SC vs. Portland Timbers Prediction St. Louis City SC Win 118 ★★★☆☆ 67% (67%)
Fortaleza vs. Ceará Prediction Fortaleza Win 135 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +754

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $170.77

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Grêmio vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Corinthians in a Brazilian Serie A match, with Grêmio seeking to improve their 12th position and Corinthians aiming for their first away win, currently standing 11th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio and Corinthians are closely positioned in the league, with Grêmio having 11 points and 12 goals scored, while Corinthians have struggled on the road.
  • In head-to-head matches, Grêmio has won 13 times, Corinthians 11, with 14 draws. Their last match ended in a draw.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but no significant external factors are noted.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 145, Corinthians: 210, Draw: 220 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Corinthians: +25 -128, Grêmio: -0.25 +108 Grêmio -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Grêmio's home advantage and Corinthians' struggle on the road, Grêmio is slightly favored to win.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – June 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Bragantino Bragantino-SP Win 110 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
New York City FC vs. Atlanta United FC Prediction New York City FC -0.5 -105 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)
Grêmio vs. Corinthians Prediction Under 2.25 -125 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +638

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $147.6

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