Match Analysis: Denis Frimpong vs Gokhan Aksu – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 22, 2025
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: SAP Garden, Munich, Germany
Game Overview
A featured lightweight bout at OKTAGON 80 featuring two fighters on hot winning streaks. Denis Frimpong, the #8 ranked Irish lightweight, faces off against Gökhan Aksu, the #7 ranked Turkish finisher. This is a title eliminator bout for Frimpong and represents a significant step up in competition for both fighters. The match consists of 3 rounds in the lightweight division (155 lbs).
Key Factors to Consider
- Denis Frimpong (9-2 record) has built impressive momentum with a string of consecutive wins, showcasing well-rounded skills with 36% KO/TKO rate and 36% decision victories. Gökhan Aksu (12-6-1 record) is a dangerous finisher with 50% of his wins coming via KO/TKO and 22% via submission, indicating strong finishing ability. Frimpong's record suggests more technical consistency, while Aksu possesses higher knockout power.
- No previous fight history between these competitors. Both fighters are on winning streaks entering this matchup, creating uncertainty in direct comparison. Height and reach differences may play a factor, with Frimpong standing 6'2" (188 cm) compared to Aksu's 5'8" (173 cm), giving Frimpong a significant reach advantage.
- No injury information available in current reports.
- The fight takes place at SAP Garden, described as Europe's most modern combat arena. Home advantage is somewhat neutral as this is a featured bout rather than a title bout. The Saturday evening timing in Munich represents a European-friendly schedule.
- This is a title eliminator bout, providing significant motivation for Frimpong to advance toward championship contention. Both fighters are looking to maintain their current winning streaks. Aksu, ranked higher (#7 vs #8), may have slight confidence advantage in ranking positioning.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denis Frimpong: -200, Gokhan Aksu: +150 | Denis Frimpong to win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denis Frimpong 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Denis Frimpong at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denis Frimpong is favored to win this matchup. His height and reach advantage, combined with more consistent technical record and title eliminator status, position him as the probable victor. However, Aksu's superior finishing rate and dangerous power pose a legitimate threat, particularly if he can close distance effectively.
Predicted Score: Frimpong via decision (29-28) or second-round TKO. Secondary prediction: Aksu via submission in round 2 (upset scenario). Most likely outcome: Frimpong wins by unanimous decision due to superior striking range and technical application, though Aksu's finishing attempts could create competitive rounds.