Match Analysis: Mizuki Hiruta vs Gloria Gallardo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thunder Studios, Long Beach, California
Game Overview
Mizuki Hiruta defends her WBO and The Ring Female Super Flyweight titles against Gloria Gallardo in a 10-round bout at Thunder Studios. Hiruta is undefeated with a technical southpaw style focused on precision and control, while Gallardo is a seasoned orthodox fighter known for aggression and knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hiruta holds a flawless 5-0 record with only 1 KO, emphasizing technical skill and tactical ring control, recently winning by unanimous decision. Gallardo, with a 16-3-3 record and 44% KO rate, is more experienced and powerful, often pressuring opponents aggressively.
- This is the first professional meeting between Mizuki Hiruta and Gloria Gallardo, meaning no prior direct engagement exists to analyze for psychological or tactical advantage.
- No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter have been disclosed ahead of this bout.
- The fight is held at a neutral venue in Long Beach, California, with no significant external conditions expected to affect performance. It's featured prominently on UFC Fight Pass, signifying a high-profile event with strong media presence.
- Both fighters are motivated by championship stakes: Hiruta aims to maintain her undefeated status and defend her titles, while Gallardo seeks to reclaim world champion status and leverage her experience against the younger, unbeaten champion.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mizuki Hiruta: -1800, Gloria Gallardo: 850 | Mizuki Hiruta win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Hiruta -1.5: 1.8, Gallardo +1.5: 2 | Hiruta covers -1.5 rounds spread | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: 1.9, Under 8.5 rounds: 1.9 | Under 8.5 rounds (fight likely to go decision but may end slightly early due to tactical caution) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mizuki Hiruta -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mizuki Hiruta at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mizuki Hiruta is favored to win by decision through technical mastery and ring generalship, despite Gallardo's power and experience. The fight is expected to be competitive with Hiruta controlling pace and range, limiting knockout opportunities for Gallardo.
Predicted Score: 10-round unanimous decision to Mizuki Hiruta