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Celta Vigo vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Girona in a La Liga match where both teams have shown balanced historical competitiveness. Celta is slight favorite at home but Girona has recent success with two 1-0 wins last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo shows solid home form and a slight edge in recent matches, while Girona has been competitive despite being underdogs and won both encounters last season.
  • 18 meetings show a balanced rivalry with 7 wins each and 5 draws. Last season Girona won both head-to-head games 1-0 each.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting line-ups from available data, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Match played at Celta's home ground, giving them crowd advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Early season motivation high for Celta to assert home dominance and for Girona to prove last season's results are not flukes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -142 Celta Vigo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -112 Celta Vigo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -115 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo moneyline win, Celta -0.75 spread, Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Girona vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Sevilla in this La Liga matchup where Sevilla is historically stronger but Girona has been solid at home this season. Both teams are competitive with Sevilla slightly favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has shown stable form at home with tactical discipline but may struggle to break down Sevilla's organized defense. Sevilla has been climbing in form with quality attacking options and solid away performances.
  • Recent H2H matches show a slight edge to Sevilla with narrow wins and draws; Girona tends to defend well but struggles to score against Sevilla’s structured approach.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that significantly impact starting lineups, maintaining full-strength squads for both teams.
  • No adverse weather or travel disruptions expected; game at Girona’s home ground favors the home team slightly.
  • Sevilla aims to consolidate their position early in the season with away points while Girona looks to impress in front of home fans, balancing motivation evenly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: +141, Sevilla: +205, Draw: +220 Girona ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Girona -0.25: +108, Sevilla +25: -128 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla moneyline win; Girona spread -0.25; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Villarreal vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Vila-Real, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal enters the match as a clear favorite against Girona, reflecting their superior league position and recent positive form. Villarreal began the 2025/26 La Liga season strongly with a 2-0 away win, while Girona struggles as a mid-low table team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal shows consistent strength with a 61.9% win rate as favorite and solid squad additions this season. Girona has struggled as an underdog, winning only about 6.7% of such matches.
  • Historically Villarreal has had better results against Girona and are significantly favored by bookmakers, indicating a probable trending advantage.
  • Villarreal is missing key players like Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Denis Suárez, Gerard Moreno, Diego Conde, and Ayoze Pérez. Despite absences, their depth appears sufficient. Girona injury status is less detailed, implying fewer notable absences.
  • The match venue favors Villarreal at home (Estadio de la Cerámica), and no negative external circumstances appear to impact either team notably.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain upward momentum in the league with a good start, while Girona seeks to improve poor away form. Villarreal’s ambition and squad quality suggest higher motivation to secure all three points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal: -192, Girona: 460, Draw: 360 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1: -112, Girona +1: -108 Villarreal -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win (moneyline), Villarreal -1 spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga season opener between Girona and Rayo Vallecano is expected to be a close contest, with Girona slightly favored. Girona recently added three loan players and promoted academy talents, but they face some injuries that impact midfield and attack. Rayo Vallecano have slightly lower chances based on recent predictive models but remain competitive at odds above 2.0. The match is poised to be tactically balanced with a modest goal output expected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona showed resilience last season by avoiding relegation despite the challenge of Champions League play. This summer, they have a stable squad with slight reinforcements and won some pre-season friendlies against weaker teams but lost to stronger opposition. Rayo Vallecano have decent form but less predictive probability of winning, rated below Girona.
  • Historical stats and recent head-to-head data show Girona marginally ahead, with predictive simulations giving Girona a 43.6% win probability, Rayo Vallecano 30.0%, and draws at 26.5%. This suggests Girona have the slight upper hand at home.
  • Girona will be without Donny Van de Beek and Abel Ruiz due to injury, with Miguel Gutierrez questionable. These absences could weaken Girona's midfield creativity and attacking options, potentially reducing goal-scoring.
  • The game is at Girona's home ground, Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, offering home advantage. No notable external disruptions such as weather or scheduling pressure are indicated.
  • As season openers, both teams are motivated to start strongly, but Girona’s imperative to build on recent survival and Rayo Vallecano’s aim to establish themselves offer a balanced motivation aspect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona 1.31, Rayo Vallecano 2.20, Draw 2.25 Girona ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Girona -0.25 at 1.02, Rayo Vallecano +25 at 1.18 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 at 1.18, Under 2.25 at 1.02 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win the match outright with a narrow margin and total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
SC Telstar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction Draw 235 34%
AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Casa Pia 178 25%
Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Under 2.25 -102 23%

Combined Odds: +1744 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $368.87

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Prediction Liverpool Win -350 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction Villarreal Win -275 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Girona Win 131 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +305

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $81

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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona and Atlético Madrid face off in the final match of La Liga's 2024-2025 season. Atlético Madrid is positioned third in the league, while Girona ranks fifteenth. The match is expected to be competitive, with Atlético Madrid favored to win due to their superior league position and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown strong form throughout the season, while Girona has been inconsistent. Girona's recent wins, however, indicate they can pose a threat at home.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in matches against Girona, though recent head-to-head data is limited.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this could impact the match if any key players are absent.
  • The match is at Girona's home ground, which might provide an advantage. However, Atlético Madrid's experience and skill level could counteract this.
  • Atlético Madrid may be motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Girona aims to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: 50 -115 Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, given their league position and past performances against Girona.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Real Sociedad vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastian, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Real Sociedad and Girona on May 18, 2025, features two mid-table teams with Real Sociedad currently ranked 12th and Girona 14th. Real Sociedad will play at home at the Reale Arena, looking to leverage their home advantage. Girona enters as the underdog but capable of challenging the hosts. The match is expected to be competitive but leans towards a home favorite scenario.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Sociedad have had a mixed home record with three losses in their last six home league matches, showing some inconsistency. Girona have been challenging but struggle away from home against teams like Real Sociedad. Recent form slightly favors Real Sociedad due to home advantage and better overall team stats.
  • The teams met once this season with Real Sociedad holding a stronger historical record. Head-to-head stats show Real Sociedad usually perform better against Girona, especially at home.
  • There are no major injury reports publicly available for either team ahead of this fixture, suggesting both squads will likely field close to their strongest lineups.
  • Playing at Reale Arena offers Real Sociedad a familiar environment and fan support. Weather or other external influences were not indicated to affect this match significantly.
  • With the season nearing its conclusion, both teams have moderate motivation; Real Sociedad aiming to solidify mid-table standing and Girona looking to improve their position and avoid slide towards lower rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Sociedad: 110, Girona: 280, Draw: 220 Real Sociedad win ★★☆☆☆ 47%
Spread Real Sociedad: -125, Girona: 105, spread_line: 25 Real Sociedad -0.25 ★★☆☆☆ 44%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Sociedad -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Sociedad is favored to win given home advantage, better historical performance, and stronger predicted probabilities. The match could be tight but Real Sociedad’s slight edge in form and venue support makes them the most likely winner.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Valladolid vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Valladolid vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Game Overview

The match between Real Valladolid and Girona FC is a crucial La Liga encounter, with both teams fighting for better positions in the table. Valladolid is currently struggling, while Girona looks to improve their standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valladolid has been inconsistent, with recent losses against Osasuna, Betis, and Barcelona. Girona, although not in top form, has shown resilience in some matches.
  • In their last encounter, Girona defeated Valladolid 3-0. However, Valladolid won 1-0 in their previous La Liga meeting.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match.
  • The home advantage might help Valladolid, but Girona's recent form could offset this.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their La Liga standings, but Girona's higher position in the table might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: -145, Valladolid: 370, Draw: 300 Girona or Draw 60% for Girona, 20% for Valladolid, 20% for Draw
Spread Girona: -0.75 -112, Valladolid: 75 -108 Girona to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -122, Under: 2.5 102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given Girona's recent form and head-to-head advantage, they are likely to win or draw.

Predicted Score: Girona 2 – 1 Valladolid


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Girona vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona, currently struggling in 15th place in La Liga with 34 points (9-7-12), hosts Villarreal, who are performing much stronger with 44 points (12-8-7). Villarreal boasts a more potent attack, led by Alex Perez (16 goals), while Girona's leading scorer, C. Stuani, has 9 goals this season. Villarreal recently drew 2-2 with Girona in December 2024 and has a slight recent head-to-head edge. Girona is coming off a tough loss to Real Betis (1-3) and a draw with Leganes, while Villarreal's recent form includes a win over Betis and a heavy loss to Celta Vigo. Key factors include Villarreal's attacking form, Girona's defensive vulnerability (51 goals conceded), and recent trends favoring Villarreal in head-to-head encounters[1][2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal is the stronger side this season, ranking higher in the table with a better goal difference and recent results, including a win over Betis and a draw with Real Sociedad. Girona has struggled defensively and is in the lower half of the table[1][2][3].
  • Recent head-to-head results are close, with both teams winning and drawing in the last five meetings. However, Villarreal has a slight edge in recent away games, including a 1-0 win and a 2-1 win at Girona in the last two seasons[1][2].
  • No major injuries reported for either team at this time.
  • Girona's home form is mixed, with some recent struggles, and Villarreal's attacking unit is in good form, notably Alex Perez (2 goals in last match)[2].
  • Villarreal is chasing European spots, while Girona is battling to avoid relegation, which could inject intensity into both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 210, Villarreal: 115, Draw: 275 Villarreal ML Medium-High (68%)
Spread Girona: 25 -108, Villarreal: -0.25 -112 Villarreal -0.25 Medium (60%)
Over/under Over 3: -102, Under 3: -118 Over 3 goals Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored due to superior form, stronger attack, and recent head-to-head trends. The data suggests a narrow away victory or a high-scoring draw is likely[1][2][5].

Predicted Score: 1-2 (Villarreal)


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