Match Analysis: Girona vs Levante – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 12:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona, Spain
Game Overview
This La Liga match features Girona (20th) hosting Levante (18th) in a critical bottom-of-the-table clash. Both teams have struggled early in the season without a win yet, making this match pivotal to escape the relegation zone. Girona showed signs of improvement with a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Celta Vigo, while Levante, a newly promoted side, have put solid performances but remain unrewarded in terms of points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Girona ranks 20th in the league and is facing a struggling season with only a single draw to show so far. Levante, ranked 18th, are also winless but slightly better on goal difference. Girona conceded a late penalty in their last game, indicating defensive vulnerability. Levante have displayed resilience but lack clinical finishing to secure points.
- Recent head-to-head meetings point towards a balanced matchup with no clear dominance. Historical data and live stats show a tendency for tight games with low goal margins between these sides.
- No explicit injury updates are provided from the sources, suggesting no major absences reported for this fixture at this time.
- The match venue, Estadi Montilivi, offers Girona the home advantage, though their current form dilutes this edge. Weather is moderate (around 82-86°F with low wind), unlikely impacting play significantly. Motivational factors stem from the mutual urgency to avoid relegation zone entrenchment.
- Both teams are desperate for their first win to gain momentum. Girona, under pressure due to recent criticism of club management and disappointing transfer activity, must capitalize on home advantage. Levante’s motivation is equally high as a promoted team seeking top-flight survival.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona: -109, Levante: 290, Draw: 260 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Girona: -0.5 -110, Levante: +50 -110 | Girona -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona 62% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Girona at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match predicted to end in a draw due to both teams' similar form, defensive frailties, and motivation levels to avoid defeat.
Predicted Score: 1-1