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Girona vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona and Valencia meet in La Liga with both teams showing interest in climbing the table. Girona, buoyed by strong home form, faces a Valencia side struggling for consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona's recent form at home has been impressive, while Valencia's away performances have been shaky. Girona has shown a potent attack and is favored by statistical models to edge this encounter[2].
  • The H2H record is relatively even, but Girona's recent upswing and Valencia's inconsistent play tip the balance toward the home side[2].
  • No major injury reports found in the available data. Assume both teams are near full strength unless late updates indicate otherwise.
  • Standard La Liga match with no significant weather or venue issues reported. Home advantage is notable for Girona[2].
  • Both teams are mid-table with ambitions to push for European spots, ensuring a competitive match with goals likely.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona +144, Valencia +190, Draw +235 Girona Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Girona 0 -130, Valencia 0 +110 Girona 0 (Pick) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 -105, Under 2.5 -115 Over 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win in a closely contested, attacking match. Expect both teams to score, but Girona's home edge and attacking quality should deliver three points[2].

Predicted Score: Girona 2-1 Valencia


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Girona vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona hosts Espanyol in a La Liga match where Girona is the slight favorite given home advantage and recent form, with Espanyol also competitive and capable of an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has struggled recently with 1 draw and 4 losses in last 5 matches, scoring fewer goals overall. Espanyol has better recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring more goals and keeping more clean sheets.
  • Historically, encounters are balanced but Girona is favored slightly at home. Simulations give Girona a 41.1% win chance, Espanyol 33.0%, and draws 25.8%.
  • No major injury reports or suspensions impacting key players for either side were noted, so both teams likely at near full strength.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel fatigue noted; standard La Liga midweek fixture.
  • Girona sits lower in the standings and needs points to climb, providing strong motivation at home. Espanyol has momentum from recent wins that boosts confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 143, Espanyol: 190, Draw: 235 Girona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Girona -0.25: 110, Espanyol +25: -130 Girona -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win on the moneyline, Girona -0.25 spread, and Under 2.5 goals for total score

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San MamΓ©s

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Girona in a La Liga match where Bilbao is in strong form, undefeated at home with solid recent results, while Girona struggles on the road with no away wins and a weak defensive record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has a 3-0-1 overall record, undefeated at home (2-0-1), and recently won 3 of 4 matches. Girona has 0-1-3 overall, no away wins, and concedes an average of 3 goals per away game.
  • Historical data and simulations heavily favor Athletic Bilbao with a 58.3% win probability, Girona at 18.3%, and draws at 23.4%. Past matches show Bilbao dominance especially at home.
  • No notable injuries reported for either side influencing key starting players, sustaining both teams' typical strength.
  • No adverse external factors such as weather or travel fatigue significantly impacting this match; Bilbao playing at home with full crowd support.
  • Athletic Bilbao motivated to maintain strong home form and solidify league position; Girona under pressure after poor away performances and low points tally (1 point).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -235, draw: +375, away: +600 Athletic Bilbao β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 Athletic Bilbao -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win moneyline, -1.25 spread in favor of Athletic Bilbao, and under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Levante vs. Real Madrid Prediction Real Madrid -1.5 -105 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Athletic Bilbao vs. Girona Prediction Athletic Bilbao Win -235 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Racing Club vs. Velez Sarsfield Prediction Racing Club Win 140 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +568

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $133.59

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Girona vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Levante in a La Liga matchup where Girona enters as the favorite with solid home form and more favorable recent results, while Levante has struggled in away games and with squad injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has shown better recent form with a higher win rate at home compared to Levante's poor away record. Girona's offense is moderately productive, while Levante's attack struggles on the road.
  • Girona holds an advantage in recent head-to-head clashes, winning more of their last meetings and scoring more goals overall against Levante.
  • Levante has key players sidelined affecting their midfield creativity and defense stability; Girona's injury list is minimal, maintaining a near full-strength lineup.
  • No significant external disruptions noted. Stable weather and pitch conditions expected at Girona’s home stadium.
  • Girona is motivated to solidify their home standing early in the season, whereas Levante is under pressure to improve results to avoid relegation battles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona -109, Levante +290, Draw +260 Girona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Girona -0.5 -110, Levante +50 -110 Girona -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win outright with moderate goal scoring expected, favoring a tight game under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Celta Vigo vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de BalaΓ­dos, Vigo

Game Overview

Celta Vigo hosts Girona in a La Liga match where both teams have shown balanced historical competitiveness. Celta is slight favorite at home but Girona has recent success with two 1-0 wins last season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Celta Vigo shows solid home form and a slight edge in recent matches, while Girona has been competitive despite being underdogs and won both encounters last season.
  • 18 meetings show a balanced rivalry with 7 wins each and 5 draws. Last season Girona won both head-to-head games 1-0 each.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting line-ups from available data, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
  • Match played at Celta's home ground, giving them crowd advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Early season motivation high for Celta to assert home dominance and for Girona to prove last season's results are not flukes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -142 Celta Vigo β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread -112 Celta Vigo -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under -115 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo moneyline win, Celta -0.75 spread, Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Girona vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Sevilla in this La Liga matchup where Sevilla is historically stronger but Girona has been solid at home this season. Both teams are competitive with Sevilla slightly favored by bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona has shown stable form at home with tactical discipline but may struggle to break down Sevilla's organized defense. Sevilla has been climbing in form with quality attacking options and solid away performances.
  • Recent H2H matches show a slight edge to Sevilla with narrow wins and draws; Girona tends to defend well but struggles to score against Sevilla’s structured approach.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that significantly impact starting lineups, maintaining full-strength squads for both teams.
  • No adverse weather or travel disruptions expected; game at Girona’s home ground favors the home team slightly.
  • Sevilla aims to consolidate their position early in the season with away points while Girona looks to impress in front of home fans, balancing motivation evenly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: +141, Sevilla: +205, Draw: +220 Girona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Girona -0.25: +108, Sevilla +25: -128 Girona -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: +105 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla moneyline win; Girona spread -0.25; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Villarreal vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la CerΓ‘mica, Vila-Real, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal enters the match as a clear favorite against Girona, reflecting their superior league position and recent positive form. Villarreal began the 2025/26 La Liga season strongly with a 2-0 away win, while Girona struggles as a mid-low table team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal shows consistent strength with a 61.9% win rate as favorite and solid squad additions this season. Girona has struggled as an underdog, winning only about 6.7% of such matches.
  • Historically Villarreal has had better results against Girona and are significantly favored by bookmakers, indicating a probable trending advantage.
  • Villarreal is missing key players like Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Denis SuΓ‘rez, Gerard Moreno, Diego Conde, and Ayoze PΓ©rez. Despite absences, their depth appears sufficient. Girona injury status is less detailed, implying fewer notable absences.
  • The match venue favors Villarreal at home (Estadio de la CerΓ‘mica), and no negative external circumstances appear to impact either team notably.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain upward momentum in the league with a good start, while Girona seeks to improve poor away form. Villarreal’s ambition and squad quality suggest higher motivation to secure all three points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal: -192, Girona: 460, Draw: 360 Villarreal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Villarreal -1: -112, Girona +1: -108 Villarreal -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win (moneyline), Villarreal -1 spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga season opener between Girona and Rayo Vallecano is expected to be a close contest, with Girona slightly favored. Girona recently added three loan players and promoted academy talents, but they face some injuries that impact midfield and attack. Rayo Vallecano have slightly lower chances based on recent predictive models but remain competitive at odds above 2.0. The match is poised to be tactically balanced with a modest goal output expected.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona showed resilience last season by avoiding relegation despite the challenge of Champions League play. This summer, they have a stable squad with slight reinforcements and won some pre-season friendlies against weaker teams but lost to stronger opposition. Rayo Vallecano have decent form but less predictive probability of winning, rated below Girona.
  • Historical stats and recent head-to-head data show Girona marginally ahead, with predictive simulations giving Girona a 43.6% win probability, Rayo Vallecano 30.0%, and draws at 26.5%. This suggests Girona have the slight upper hand at home.
  • Girona will be without Donny Van de Beek and Abel Ruiz due to injury, with Miguel Gutierrez questionable. These absences could weaken Girona's midfield creativity and attacking options, potentially reducing goal-scoring.
  • The game is at Girona's home ground, Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, offering home advantage. No notable external disruptions such as weather or scheduling pressure are indicated.
  • As season openers, both teams are motivated to start strongly, but Girona’s imperative to build on recent survival and Rayo Vallecano’s aim to establish themselves offer a balanced motivation aspect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona 1.31, Rayo Vallecano 2.20, Draw 2.25 Girona β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Girona -0.25 at 1.02, Rayo Vallecano +25 at 1.18 Girona -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 at 1.18, Under 2.25 at 1.02 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Girona to win the match outright with a narrow margin and total goals under 2.25

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 0 Rayo Vallecano


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
SC Telstar vs. FC Zwolle Prediction Draw 235 34%
AVS Futebol SAD vs. Casa Pia Prediction Casa Pia 178 25%
Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Under 2.25 -102 23%

Combined Odds: +1744 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $368.87

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