Match Analysis: Ghassan Abdenabi vs Ashlee Evans-Smith – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: To Be Announced
Game Overview
The upcoming MMA bout features Ghassan Abdenabi facing off against Ashlee Evans-Smith on June 28, 2025, at 16:00 UTC. Both fighters bring a unique style and competitive record to the cage, with Evans-Smith entering as the slight favorite according to current moneyline odds. This match promises a tactical and physical contest given their contrasting fighting approaches and experience levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ghassan Abdenabi has shown a steady rise with technical striking and ground control, while Ashlee Evans-Smith has a more aggressive and physical fighting style, leveraging her power and experience in high-pressure fights. Evans-Smith’s recent performances have demonstrated resilience and finishing ability, whereas Abdenabi has been methodical with winning rounds through control and precision.
- There is no recorded prior head-to-head meeting between Ghassan Abdenabi and Ashlee Evans-Smith, making their styles and recent form critical factors in this prediction.
- No recent injury reports or fitness concerns have been disclosed for either fighter, suggesting both are entering the bout in full health and training capacity.
- The fight being held possibly in an undisclosed venue with no altitude or travel disadvantages noted for either fighter, thus external conditions such as travel fatigue or climate are unlikely to impact performance significantly.
- Evans-Smith may be motivated to assert her dominance to improve her ranking and secure future high-stakes fights, while Abdenabi seeks to make a name with a significant upset against a favored opponent, fueling his drive to perform energetically.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ashlee Evans-Smith: -145, Ghassan Abdenabi: 105 | Ashlee Evans-Smith | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Ashlee Evans-Smith -1.5: -120, Ghassan Abdenabi +1.5: 100 | Ashlee Evans-Smith -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ashlee Evans-Smith -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ashlee Evans-Smith at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ashlee Evans-Smith is favored to win given her aggressive style, experience, and current odds; however, Ghassan Abdenabi has a solid chance if he can maintain control and capitalize on technical aspects. The fight is expected to be competitive but leans towards Evans-Smith by decision or late finish.
Predicted Score: Evans-Smith wins by decision or late round TKO