Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC 322 middleweight bout features Gerald Meerschaert (37-20-0) versus Kyle Daukaus (16-4-0, 1 NC), both southpaw fighters with well-rounded skill sets. Daukaus, aged 32, is slightly taller at 6'2" with a 76" reach, while Meerschaert, aged 37, is 6'1" with a 77" reach. Daukaus is favored heavily in betting markets, reflecting a perception of higher skill, especially in grappling and submission attempts, though Meerschaert brings experience and a solid takedown defense to the cage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kyle Daukaus maintains an effective striking average of 3.25 significant strikes per minute at a 53% accuracy, along with rigorous submission attempts (1.9 tries per 15 minutes). Gerald Meerschaert averages slightly fewer significant strikes per minute (3.02) with 45% accuracy and attempts fewer submissions (1.4 per 3 rounds). Meerschaert succeeds in stopping 42% of opponent takedown attempts but only completes takedowns on 30% of his attempts. Daukaus offers a higher rate of finishes and consistent fight control.
• No previous fight between Meerschaert and Daukaus has been recorded, making this their first encounter. The matchup pits a younger, highly active submission grappler against a veteran with deep experience in the UFC middleweight division.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout have been noted.
• The bout takes place in Madison Square Garden, a neutral but iconic venue, with no significant external disruptions or conditions reported. Both fighters have had normal fight preparations.
• Kyle Daukaus appears motivated to prove himself by securing a first-round finish as indicated in recent interviews, showing confidence and aggressive mindset. Gerald Meerschaert brings veteran experience and will aim to withstand the early pressure and capitalize on any openings later in the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gerald Meerschaert: 330, Kyle Daukaus: -425	Kyle Daukaus to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Gerald Meerschaert +7.5: 115, Kyle Daukaus -7.5: -155	Kyle Daukaus covers the -7.5 spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -175, Under 1.5 rounds: 135	Fight goes over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kyle Daukaus -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kyle Daukaus is favored to win based on superior striking efficiency, higher submission rate, and betting odds. The fight likely ends via decision or submission in favor of Daukaus, with Meerschaert potentially extending the fight but facing difficulties imposing his game plan.

Predicted Score: Kyle Daukaus wins by submission or decision in round 2 or 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Angela Hill vs. Fatima Kline Prediction	Fatima Kline Win	-520	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction	Gerald Meerschaert 7.5	115	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jawany Scott vs. Michelangelo Lupoli Prediction	Jawany Scott Win	-440	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +215

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $62.92

Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Gerald Meerschaert will face Michal Oleksiejczuk in a UFC 319 middleweight bout. Meerschaert, a 37-year-old southpaw with a strong submission game, has a career record of 37-19. Oleksiejczuk, aged 30, is also a southpaw and a powerful striker with a record of 20-9 (1 NC). The fight features contrasting styles: Meerschaert's grappling and submission expertise versus Oleksiejczuk's aggressive striking and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Meerschaert lands 3.05 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy and absorbs 3.43 strikes per minute while defending 53%. Oleksiejczuk lands 5.27 strikes per minute at 51% accuracy, absorbs 4.51 per minute, and has a defense rate of 59%. Oleksiejczuk's striking volume and power are superior, but Meerschaert's grappling offers a path to victory.
• No records suggest a previous encounter between these fighters; the match-up is a stylistic contrast without direct past meetings.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
• The fight takes place at the United Center in Chicago as part of UFC 319. No notable external conditions such as altitude or climate are expected to influence the fight.
• Meerschaert aims to leverage his grappling to add a win late in his career, while Oleksiejczuk looks to assert his striking dominance to climb the middleweight ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gerald Meerschaert: +195, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -238	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Gerald Meerschaert: +3.5 at 1.30, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -3.5 at 1.80	Oleksiejczuk to win by more than 3.5 points (rounds)	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 1.05, Under 1.5 rounds: -1.35	Fight to go over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleksiejczuk is favored to win by knockout or technical knockout early due to his striking superiority. However, if Meerschaert survives the initial onslaught and brings the fight to the ground, he has a strong chance to submit Oleksiejczuk, making the fight competitive with a dynamic outcome dependent on early exchanges.

Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by 2nd round knockout

Match Analysis: Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 6, 2025
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Brad Tavares and Gerald Meerschaert are set to face off in a highly anticipated MMA bout. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Tavares known for his striking capabilities and Meerschaert recognized for his grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brad Tavares comes into this fight with a recent history of solid performances, showcasing a balance of striking and defensive skills. Gerald Meerschaert, with a diverse arsenal of submissions, poses a significant threat if the fight goes to the ground.
• There is no recent head-to-head data available, suggesting that past encounters may not significantly influence the outcome of this fight.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The match's Las Vegas venue suggests a neutral setting for both fighters, minimizing potential external advantages.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes in a UFC matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-218 for Brad Tavares, +180 for Gerald Meerschaert	Brad Tavares	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-3.5 for Brad Tavares, +3.5 for Gerald Meerschaert	Brad Tavares	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5 -188, Under 2.5 +145	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Brad Tavares is expected to win due to his well-rounded skills and past performance trends.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Brad Tavares