Match Analysis: Georg Bilogrevic vs David Hosek – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Festhalle, Frankfurt, Germany
Game Overview
A middleweight bout between strikers Georg Bilogrevic and David Hosek at Oktagon 76. Both fighters rely primarily on striking, with no significant history of takedown or grappling dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
- David Hosek has shown better recent form with a unanimous decision victory over Bilogrevic earlier the same day, suggesting in-ring control and conditioning advantage.
- Hosek defeated Bilogrevic by unanimous decision at the same event, with scores 30-27 and 29-28 in favor of Hosek, indicating clear superiority in their latest encounter.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
- The fight takes place in Germany, close to Bilogrevic's home region, but Hosek’s experience in Oktagon MMA environment may neutralize home advantage.
- Both fighters are motivated to improve standing in Oktagon MMA’s competitive welterweight division; Hosek’s prior victory may add psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -163 for Hosek, +140 for Bilogrevic | David Hosek | ★★★★☆ 76% |
| Spread | -1.5 +180 Hosek, +1.5 -220 Bilogrevic | David Hosek -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
David Hosek to win on moneyline by unanimous decision
Predicted Score: David Hosek wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)