Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Alfie Davis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-15
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Game Overview

In the PFL World Tournament Lightweight Final, Gadzhi Rabadanov, known for his knockout power and close ties to Khabib Nurmagomedov, faces UK striking ace Alfie Davis. Both fighters have showcased impressive skills and resilience throughout the tournament, setting the stage for a highly anticipated clash for the lightweight championship.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rabadanov has demonstrated dominant striking and finishing ability with multiple knockouts in the PFL, whereas Alfie Davis brings a dynamic striking style with a solid Bellator background, highlighting his experience against high-level competition.
• No prior fights recorded between Rabadanov and Davis, making this final their first encounter, which adds unpredictability to the matchup.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout, indicating both are likely at full strength.
• The fight takes place at Bojangles Coliseum, a well-known combat sports venue. Rabadanov’s connection to notable training camps, including Khabib Nurmagomedov’s team, may provide strategic advantages. The event's high-profile nature and live ESPN+ and DAZN broadcasts add pressure and motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated; Rabadanov aims to capture his first PFL lightweight title to augment his knockout finishes, while Davis seeks to secure the PFL title as a landmark achievement in his career, amplifying his international reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov: -670, Alfie Davis: 430	Gadzhi Rabadanov	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5: -110, Alfie Davis +1.5: -110	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is favored to win the match due to his superior finishing rate, strategic camp support, and odds heavily in his favor. Alfie Davis may pose striking challenges, but Rabadanov’s power and experience in PFL competition give him the edge for a decision or knockout victory.

Predicted Score: Winner by TKO/KO or unanimous decision in under 3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Liz Carmouche vs. Jena Bishop Prediction	Liz Carmouche Win	-370	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alfie Davis Prediction	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5	-110	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Brady Minner vs. Dylan Diebitz Prediction	Dylan Diebitz Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +212

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $62.36

Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Kevin Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 20, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

The PFL World Tournament 6 Semifinals feature a highly anticipated matchup between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Kevin Lee. Rabadanov, the 2024 PFL Lightweight Champion, faces off against Lee, a former UFC title challenger now competing in the PFL. This bout is part of the semifinals, with the winner advancing to the finals.

Key Factors to Consider

• Gadzhi Rabadanov has a strong resume as the 2024 PFL Lightweight Champion, while Kevin Lee brings significant experience from his UFC career.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• Jay-Jay Wilson's injury led to Kevin Lee replacing him in the semifinals. Lee has had time to heal from past injuries.
• The PFL semifinal format and the pressure to advance to the finals could influence performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Rabadanov defending his title and Lee seeking to prove himself in a new league.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov: -2000, Kevin Lee: 1000	Gadzhi Rabadanov	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is favored to win due to his championship status and recent form.

Predicted Score: Decision or early finish in favor of Gadzhi Rabadanov

Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Marc Diakiese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 18, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Gadzhi Rabadanov faces Marc Diakiese in a Lightweight division match at the PFL World Tournament 2025. Rabadanov is favored with odds of -700, while Diakiese is the underdog at +500.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rabadanov has shown strong performances in past fights, though specific recent statistics are not available. Diakiese, a striker with a freestyle background, may rely on his aggression and quick strikes.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between Rabadanov and Diakiese.
• No specific injury information is available for either fighter.
• External factors such as crowd influence and ring conditions could impact performance, but there is no specific venue or crowd information available.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, competing in a major event like PFL, which could enhance their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-700 for Gadzhi Rabadanov, +500 for Marc Diakiese	Gadzhi Rabadanov to win	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is favored to win this matchup given his favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights.