Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Alfie Davis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, North Carolina, United States

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card PFL 2025 Finals matchup between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Alfie Davis, two experienced fighters with contrasting odds favoring Rabadanov as a strong favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

• Gadzhi Rabadanov is in excellent recent form with a dominant fighting style, a strong 19-5-1 record, and consistently successful takedowns and control. Alfie Davis shows resilience but is the underdog with less consistent recent performances.
• No confirmed prior head-to-head records found, making this essentially a first encounter, increasing unpredictability but favoring the more dominant fighter overall.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capability.
• Fight takes place in a neutral venue with no home advantage; however, Rabadanov's favored status and betting market confidence may affect psychological momentum.
• Both fighters motivated highly due to PFL Finals stakes, but Rabadanov's favorite status implies stronger confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov: -670, Alfie Davis: 430	Gadzhi Rabadanov	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5: -750, Alfie Davis +1.5: 500	Gadzhi Rabadanov -1.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by TKO in round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Alfie Davis Prediction	Gadzhi Rabadanov Win	-670	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Liz Carmouche vs. Jena Bishop Prediction	Liz Carmouche Win	-370	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Devin Clark vs. Bevon Lewis Prediction	Devin Clark Win	-600	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -142

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $34.06

Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Kevin Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-20
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Former UFC title challenger Kevin Lee makes his PFL debut as a late replacement, stepping in for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson to face reigning 2024 PFL lightweight champion Gadzhi Rabadanov in the main event of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 6 Semifinals. Despite his experience and high-level resume, Lee is considered a significant underdog against the dominant champion Rabadanov, who is coached by Khabib Nurmagomedov[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• Gadzhi Rabadanov is on a strong run, holding a 25-4-2 record and the current PFL lightweight title. Kevin Lee (20-8) is a seasoned veteran who has faced elite competition in the UFC but has struggled with injuries and consistency in recent years[1][4].
• This is the first meeting between Gadzhi Rabadanov and Kevin Lee. No prior head-to-head history exists[1][4].
• Kevin Lee is stepping in as an alternate for the injured Jay-Jay Wilson. Lee himself has dealt with multiple injuries throughout his career but reports indicate he is currently healthy. No injuries reported for Rabadanov[1][4].
• Kevin Lee is debuting in the PFL as an official alternate and must adapt to the promotion’s tournament format and cage environment on short notice. Rabadanov benefits from stability and championship experience within the PFL[1][4].
• Lee is highly motivated to prove he remains a top contender at lightweight, while Rabadanov aims to retain his championship momentum and make another run at the title[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov: -2000, Kevin Lee: 1000	Gadzhi Rabadanov to win	★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gadzhi Rabadanov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is heavily favored to win this semifinal matchup. Kevin Lee’s experience and skill present a challenge, but Rabadanov’s current form, championship pedigree, and superior odds make him the clear pick.

Predicted Score: Gadzhi Rabadanov wins by stoppage (submission or KO/TKO) in Rounds 2–3

Match Analysis: Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Marc Diakiese – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 18, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Gadzhi Rabadanov faces Marc Diakiese in a Lightweight division match at the PFL World Tournament 2025. Rabadanov is favored with odds of -700, while Diakiese is the underdog at +500.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rabadanov has shown strong performances in past fights, though specific recent statistics are not available. Diakiese, a striker with a freestyle background, may rely on his aggression and quick strikes.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between Rabadanov and Diakiese.
• No specific injury information is available for either fighter.
• External factors such as crowd influence and ring conditions could impact performance, but there is no specific venue or crowd information available.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, competing in a major event like PFL, which could enhance their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-700 for Gadzhi Rabadanov, +500 for Marc Diakiese	Gadzhi Rabadanov to win	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gadzhi Rabadanov -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Gadzhi Rabadanov is favored to win this matchup given his favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights.