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Gabriela Fundora vs. Alexas Kubicki Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Gabriela Fundora vs Alexas Kubicki – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Fantasy Springs Resort Casino, Indio, California

Game Overview

Gabriela Fundora will defend her undisputed women's flyweight title against Alexas Kubicki in a 10-round bout. Fundora is undefeated with a 16-0 record and a 50% knockout rate, while Kubicki has a 13-1 record with fewer knockouts. The fight is scheduled as part of the undercard for a major boxing event and streamed live on DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fundora has shown dominance with 16 wins and 8 knockouts, including back-to-back TKOs in recent fights, indicating strong power and experience. Kubicki, with 13 wins and only 2 knockouts, has less power but has proven competitive with a single loss and is challenging for a world title for the first time.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Fundora and Kubicki, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either boxer ahead of the fight.
  • The fight takes place at Fantasy Springs Resort Casino, a neutral venue for both fighters. Fundora fights southpaw, Kubicki orthodox, providing stylistic contrast. The bout is part of a high-profile card which may add pressure.
  • Fundora aims to defend her undisputed flyweight championship and maintain her undefeated record, with strong confidence from recent stoppages. Kubicki is motivated to prove herself on the world stage and capture her first major title despite being an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriela Fundora: -2000, Alexas Kubicki: 850 Gabriela Fundora to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread Gabriela Fundora -3.5 rounds: -150, Alexas Kubicki +3.5 rounds: +130 Gabriela Fundora to win by more than 3.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: 122, Under 8.5 rounds: -152 Under 8.5 rounds (fight ends before full 10 rounds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriela Fundora -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriela Fundora is heavily favored to win due to her undefeated record, knockout power, and title defense experience. Kubicki's chances to upset are low but not impossible if she withstands Fundora's power and uses her orthodox style effectively.

Predicted Score: Gabriela Fundora wins via TKO in round 7


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Gabriela Fundora vs. Marilyn Badillo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Gabriela Fundora vs Marilyn Badillo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 19, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Frontwave Arena, Oceanside, California

Game Overview

Undisputed women’s flyweight title bout between undefeated champion Gabriela Fundora (15-0, 7 KOs) and Marilyn Badillo (19-0-1, 3 KOs). Fundora, the youngest undisputed champion in boxing history, defends her WBA, WBC, WBO, and IBF belts for the first time. Badillo enters as a technical challenger with a 16% KO rate compared to Fundora’s 47%.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fundora has stopped 3 of her last 4 opponents, including a seventh-round TKO to unify the titles. Badillo’s recent decision-heavy performances suggest reliance on volume over power.
  • First meeting between fighters. Fundora holds a 6-inch height and 4-inch reach advantage.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • DAZN-streamed event with California crowd favoring local fighter Fundora. Weight class strictly enforced at 112 lbs.
  • Fundora aims to cement legacy as women’s boxing’s new face. Badillo seeks career-defining upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fundora -2500 / Badillo +900 Fundora wins β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Over/under Over 8.5 (-140) / Under 8.5 (+110) Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriela Fundora 862%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 47%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Gabriela Fundora at 862% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 95.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fundora by mid-round KO (Rounds 5-7) due to superior power and championship experience.

Predicted Score: TKO/KO for Fundora before Round 8.5


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