Match Analysis: Gabriela Fundora vs Alexas Kubicki – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio, California, USA

Game Overview

Undefeated and undisputed Flyweight Champion Gabriela Fundora faces Alexas Kubicki in a 10-round flyweight title bout. Fundora brings a perfect 16-0 record with significant knockout power and superior experience, while Kubicki is a strong prospect with a 13-1 record but less power and a recent step-up in competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fundora is undefeated with 16 wins including 8 KOs, recently dominating multiple title defenses, showcasing refinement and power. Kubicki holds a 13-1 record with only 2 KOs, last winning a WBC International Flyweight Title in May 2025 but lacking Fundora's stopping ability.
• No prior head-to-head bouts exist between Fundora and Kubicki, making this their first encounter on September 21, 2025.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight held at Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio, California, likely a neutral venue though Fundora fights out of Florida and Kubicki from Canada, with no reported travel or acclimation issues.
• Fundora is defending undisputed titles and maintaining undefeated status, highly motivated. Kubicki seeks to secure a major upset and elevate her career, but faces a daunting challenge stepping up to undisputed champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gabriela Fundora: -2000, Alexas Kubicki: +850	Gabriela Fundora	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Fundora -4.5 rounds: -300, Kubicki +4.5 rounds: +220	Fundora -4.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: +122, Under 8.5 rounds: -152	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 76%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gabriela Fundora -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriela Fundora to win by stoppage (TKO/KO) in the later rounds, demonstrating superior power and experience.

Predicted Score: Gabriela Fundora wins by 7th round TKO

Match Analysis: Gabriela Fundora vs Marilyn Badillo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 19, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Frontwave Arena, Oceanside, California

Game Overview

Undisputed women’s flyweight title bout between undefeated champion Gabriela Fundora (15-0, 7 KOs) and Marilyn Badillo (19-0-1, 3 KOs). Fundora, the youngest undisputed champion in boxing history, defends her WBA, WBC, WBO, and IBF belts for the first time. Badillo enters as a technical challenger with a 16% KO rate compared to Fundora’s 47%.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fundora has stopped 3 of her last 4 opponents, including a seventh-round TKO to unify the titles. Badillo’s recent decision-heavy performances suggest reliance on volume over power.
• First meeting between fighters. Fundora holds a 6-inch height and 4-inch reach advantage.
• No reported injuries pre-fight.
• DAZN-streamed event with California crowd favoring local fighter Fundora. Weight class strictly enforced at 112 lbs.
• Fundora aims to cement legacy as women’s boxing’s new face. Badillo seeks career-defining upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fundora -2500 / Badillo +900	Fundora wins	★★★★★ 95%
Over/under	Over 8.5 (-140) / Under 8.5 (+110)	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gabriela Fundora 862%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gabriela Fundora at 862% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 95.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fundora by mid-round KO (Rounds 5-7) due to superior power and championship experience.

Predicted Score: TKO/KO for Fundora before Round 8.5