Match Analysis: Lindolfo Delgado vs Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Game Overview
Lindolfo Delgado faces Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela in a 12-round IBF junior welterweight eliminator. Delgado enters undefeated (23-0, 16 KOs), while Valenzuela is experienced (31-4-1, 17 KOs) but coming off a loss to Subriel Matias in March 2025. The fight is a high-stakes eliminator with both fighters motivated to secure a world title shot.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delgado is undefeated with strong knockout power (16 KOs in 23 wins). Valenzuela has faced higher-level opposition but has lost 4 of his last 31, including a recent unanimous decision loss to Matias. Valenzuela has gone the distance in 2 of his last 5 fights and has only 1 stoppage in that span.
- No previous meetings between the two fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- The fight takes place in Mexico, likely giving Delgado a home advantage. The eliminator status increases pressure on both fighters to perform decisively.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to win and advance toward a world title shot. Delgado seeks to prove he belongs at the elite level, while Valenzuela aims to rebound from his recent loss and remain in contention.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -475, away: 330 | Lindolfo Delgado | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -2.5, away: +2.5 | Lindolfo Delgado -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 10.5, under: 10.5 | Under 10.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lindolfo Delgado -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lindolfo Delgado at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lindolfo Delgado wins by decision. Delgado's undefeated record, youth, and power will be too much for Valenzuela, who has shown vulnerability against top-level opposition. Expect Delgado to control the fight and win on points.
Predicted Score: Lindolfo Delgado wins by unanimous decision (118-110, 117-111, 116-112)