Match Analysis: Lindolfo Delgado vs Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Game Overview
Lindolfo Delgado, an undefeated super lightweight contender with a perfect 23-0 record (16 KOs), faces Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela, an experienced challenger with a 31-4-1 record (17 KOs). This 12-round super lightweight bout (140 lbs) serves as a significant test for Delgado's undefeated status against a seasoned opponent who recently competed in an IBF World Junior Welterweight eliminator.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lindolfo Delgado maintains an exceptional undefeated record with an impressive 69.6% knockout rate, demonstrating both technical skill and power. His most recent victory came against Elvis Rodriguez on April 5, 2025. Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela, despite his 89.7% win rate, has faced tougher competition and shows vulnerability, having lost to Subriel Matias on March 1, 2025, by unanimous decision in an IBF eliminator. Valenzuela won 3 of his last 5 fights but has struggled against elite-level opposition.
- No prior head-to-head history exists between these fighters. However, Delgado's perfect record and higher knockout percentage suggest a significant skill advantage, while Valenzuela's experience with elite competition provides valuable fight knowledge that could help him survive the distance.
- No injury information is available for either fighter in the provided data.
- This bout takes place in Mexico at Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, potentially providing a slight environmental familiarity advantage for Delgado if he has Mexican fighting experience. The venue and conditions are standard for professional boxing events.
- Delgado seeks to maintain his undefeated status and advance his career toward title opportunities, while Valenzuela aims to rebound from his recent loss to Matias and prove he belongs among elite super lightweights. Both fighters have significant motivation to perform at their highest level.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delgado -475 / Valenzuela +330 | Lindolfo Delgado wins | ★★★★☆ 87% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lindolfo Delgado -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lindolfo Delgado at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lindolfo Delgado is the heavy favorite and should emerge victorious. His combination of an undefeated record, superior knockout power (69.6% KO rate vs. Valenzuela's 58.1%), and consistency make him the clear pick. Valenzuela's recent loss to Subriel Matias and inconsistent performance in his last five fights suggest he lacks the necessary edge to upset Delgado. The most likely outcome is a Delgado victory, with a knockout being more probable than a decision given his offensive capabilities and Valenzuela's recent vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Lindolfo Delgado wins by KO in rounds 7-9 (Most Likely: 70% probability) | Alternative: Lindolfo Delgado wins by UD 120-108 (17% probability) | Upset: Gabriel Gollaz Valenzuela wins by UD 115-113 (13% probability)